AJs that kicked me.

[ArturiusX]

Playing these hands this way was one of my biggest leaks.

[aLOWdAkING]

Anybody like a flop 3bet? We're looking at about 15 outs at best, or is that -EV headsup?

[sfwusc]

I thought about that...knowing more than everyone else... it would have been EV-

-SFWUSC

[oreogod]

Hes not going anywhere.

The way its played. Check/call the turn. Check/fold the river.

If u threebet the flop and he calls, hes staying at least until the river.

[poboys]

I would 3-bet the flop. You are 2:1 dog to hit your flush, even if your AJ outs are worthless.

I am not sure why you wouldn't lead the turn here, (esp if you 3bet the flop). You are roughly 4:1 to get your club on the river (again completely discounting your AJ). If he raises, then you are getting exactly 4:1, right? Given the fact that you can't completely discount your AJ this is +EV, or am I missing something here?

[Moesendreck]

[ QUOTE ]
I am not sure why you wouldn't lead the turn here, (esp if you 3bet the flop). You are roughly 4:1 to get your club on the river (again completely discounting your AJ). If he raises, then you are getting exactly 4:1, right? Given the fact that you can't completely discount your AJ this is +EV, or am I missing something here?

[/ QUOTE ]

Being raised on the turn with approximately 20 to 30% chance of winning this hand is certainly not +EV.