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  #11  
Old 03-13-2005, 08:58 PM
stripsqueez stripsqueez is offline
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Join Date: May 2003
Location: Adelaide , South Australia
Posts: 1,055
Default Re: NL SNG End Game Question

[ QUOTE ]
AKo is not a weak holding

[/ QUOTE ]

its not weak but its just another drawing hand

stripsqueez - chickenhawk
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  #12  
Old 03-13-2005, 09:04 PM
citanul citanul is offline
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Join Date: Jul 2003
Posts: 64
Default Re: NL SNG End Game Question

Christ, this drawing hand stuff is nonsense. 76s is a "Drawing hand" a hand that has a statistical advantage over every hand but 13 is not a "drawing hand." By this logic, you can only play "non drawing hands" in some spots, and I just like AK a bit more than 22. And yes, I know that's a bit of strawmanning, but while I agree that there are spots taht I want to have say, QQ or better to call, saying AK is anything but a nice hand is just plain silly in my view.

citanul, who hopes to learn something. Again, it comes down to putting your opponent on a range, figuring out what's going to happen if you call and what's going to happen if you fold, and then seeing which looks like a bigger EV move.
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  #13  
Old 03-13-2005, 09:19 PM
eastbay eastbay is offline
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Join Date: Nov 2003
Posts: 647
Default Re: NL SNG End Game Question

[ QUOTE ]

Well, the more I look at it, the more it seems like a fold.


[/ QUOTE ]

Agree. If you put him on 22+,A5+,KJ+, here's an ICM analysis:



Even if you put him on any two, it's still a tiny advantage to call. I probably still fold it especially since you said you're running over these guys.



[ QUOTE ]

How about situation number 2:

Hero BB: T3500
SB: T3200
Button: T3300

Blinds are 150, 300. Button folds, SB pushes all in.

Now, is it better to fold here or call? Assume you are the best player at the table and can continue to steal blinds at a rate that is faster than your opponents.

Thank you for your comments,

soda

[/ QUOTE ]

This is potentially read-dependent now, but almost certainly a call unless something really weird is going on.

Even with a reasonably tight pushing assumption of 55+,A7+, KQs:



So basically, I think the gist of your Q is about the differences between bubble and ITM play, and you've conjured up a good example of why they're so different.

eastbay
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  #14  
Old 03-14-2005, 12:32 AM
AA suited AA suited is offline
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Join Date: Apr 2004
Posts: 14
Default Re: NL SNG End Game Question

so eastbay, when will your software be available?
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  #15  
Old 03-14-2005, 12:37 AM
eastbay eastbay is offline
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Posts: 647
Default Re: NL SNG End Game Question

[ QUOTE ]
so eastbay, when will your software be available?

[/ QUOTE ]

The latest info will always be on my site's forum. A link is in my profile.

This Friday, March 18th is planned for the first, limited distribution release.

eastbay
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