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  #11  
Old 03-13-2005, 02:42 PM
MyMindIsGoing MyMindIsGoing is offline
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Default Re: AA and hard time on the flop

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Raise max preflop. I do not think you are ahead at this point though. MP1 shoud have a set here or the king of diamonds. If you think he has the king, push all in and hope he folds, otherwise fold. If MP1 did not raise I would raise myself, folding to a reraise.

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Who raises with K high 1 card flush draw?

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This is low stakes... Do I need to say more? [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img]
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  #12  
Old 03-14-2005, 02:51 AM
SeattleJake SeattleJake is offline
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Default Re: AA and hard time on the flop

I agree it's a fold, but I think it's a lot closer than everyone suspects... You're ahead at least 23% here (85% over the BB at least), and if you're behind to MP, then you still have a 31% of catching the nut-flush by the river:

(.23)(122.4) + (.31)(122.4) = 66.09

Your pot equity, assuming BB folds here, is just below what you need to call. If you suspect BB to call > 15% then it would be worth it.
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  #13  
Old 03-14-2005, 05:09 AM
TheWorstPlayer TheWorstPlayer is offline
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Default Re: AA and hard time on the flop

You have a bet and a raise on a scary board in front of the preflop raiser. You are ahead 0% here. And a made flush is a very likely hand which gives you 7 outs. Another like hand is a set which means you can lose even if you hit your flush. Easy fold.
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  #14  
Old 03-14-2005, 02:01 PM
SeattleJake SeattleJake is offline
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Default Re: AA and hard time on the flop

I see your point, but even if bettor has a set here, and raiser has a made flush, you still have 24% pot equity. Not enough for a call obviously, but not so cut-n-dry.

Or am I thinking too much here?
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