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  #11  
Old 09-27-2004, 01:50 PM
BigBlind BigBlind is offline
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Join Date: Jan 2004
Posts: 17
Default Re: Are huge swings always to be expected even for tight 15-30 player

Thanks for all replies. They have been very helpful.

Based on your answers that the hourly big swings are quite normal I'm not sure I will continue my try at 15-30. Poker is just a hobby for me and I don't have any aspirations going pro. Swings like the ones at 15-30 PP might get to me emotionally and I don't wanna go there.

I believe it's better for me to go back 4-tabling 3-6 where the money wagered is insignificant and I can play stressfree winning poker.
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  #12  
Old 09-27-2004, 03:25 PM
nykenny nykenny is offline
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Join Date: Dec 2002
Posts: 1,120
Default Re: Are huge swings always to be expected even for tight 15-30 player

[ QUOTE ]
No, swings worse than that will happen, regardless of how tight you are. Eventually you will lose $9000 as a streak in this game (all the godlike 2+2ers are patting themselves on their back right now for being so good they can defy the laws of math).

[/ QUOTE ]

*nykenny pats self on the back*... just kidding [img]/images/graemlins/grin.gif[/img]
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  #13  
Old 09-27-2004, 03:27 PM
nykenny nykenny is offline
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Join Date: Dec 2002
Posts: 1,120
Default Re: Are huge swings always to be expected even for tight 15-30 player

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
Here is the breakdown for every hour during my session
1: -812 (-27BB)
2: +1195(+40BB)
3: -152 (-5BB)
4: -917 (-30BB)
5: +488 (+16BB)
last 30 minutes:+1015 (+34BB)

[/ QUOTE ]

This looks normal. Calm, even. But I'm a LAG.

[/ QUOTE ]

LAG = Loose Aggressive Good?
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  #14  
Old 09-27-2004, 05:08 PM
Ponks Ponks is offline
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Join Date: Apr 2004
Posts: 36
Default Re: Are huge swings always to be expected even for tight 15-30 player

I'm kinda in the same boat as you. I multitable 3/6 for the past 80k hands now and have decided to move up to 15/30. I've only played about 650 hands there total, but the swings are huge. I'm only 19 and this is all a lot of money to me. I have a heard time thinking in terms of BB, I just think in terms of my total bankroll. I dont know what I would consider a safe bankroll for me to give the 15/30 a serious try, but I only have about 15k right now and think I would like to be atleast 20k so if I lose 2k in the first day it wont feel as bad.

Ponks
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  #15  
Old 09-27-2004, 08:29 PM
Turning Stone Pro Turning Stone Pro is offline
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Join Date: Dec 2003
Posts: 10
Default 1800 is exactly right . . .

I'm still trying to work out of a 400 BB losing streak. Cant seem to put it together, almost ready to quit for good. If I lose another 100 BB, I'm done.

TSP
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  #16  
Old 09-27-2004, 08:42 PM
James282 James282 is offline
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Join Date: Sep 2003
Posts: 699
Default Re: 1800 is exactly right . . .

Enough already.
-James
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  #17  
Old 09-27-2004, 08:56 PM
bicyclekick bicyclekick is offline
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Join Date: Oct 2003
Location: Morris, MN
Posts: 416
Default Re: 1800 is exactly right . . .

You already quit for good awhile back.
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  #18  
Old 09-27-2004, 09:02 PM
mikelow mikelow is offline
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Join Date: Sep 2002
Location: Huntington Beach, CA
Posts: 1,707
Default Re: 1800 is exactly right . . .

Well, I would probably try to quit sooner. Evaluation of your play is important after every session.

Are you making bad calls? You can blow off a a lot of bets this way. Not by calling on the river in big pots, but by chasing when you know you're beat.

Folding big pots? This can be devestating.

Playing too many hands? A big error.

I could mention many others. Quit is best. At least for a month.
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