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#11
12-12-2005, 11:24 PM
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Re: Own up! (low content)
[ QUOTE ]
Just to add insult to injury: Bad laydown. Your turn flatcall and river fold are totally inconsistant. A8 is a significant part of BBs range here. You're getting better than 6-1 for a split. [/ QUOTE ] Most of the hands that hero is calling down to hope to beat are overpalyed AK/AQ-type hands. We now lose to those because of the river 9, the fact that we now chop with A8 is the only upside. Surf 
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#12
12-13-2005, 12:13 AM
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Re: Own up! (low content)
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] Just to add insult to injury: Bad laydown. Your turn flatcall and river fold are totally inconsistant. A8 is a significant part of BBs range here. You're getting better than 6-1 for a split. [/ QUOTE ] Most of the hands that hero is calling down to hope to beat are overpalyed AK/AQ-type hands. We now lose to those because of the river 9, the fact that we now chop with A8 is the only upside. Surf [/ QUOTE ] I think AK/AQ type hands bet/call the turn way more often than checkraise given the flop action, and set/top 2 type hands would bet/3-bet the turn more often than checkraise. Regardless of how often he takes this particular line with a hand that sucked out on the river, the fact remains that his holding will be A8 more often than 16% of the time assuming he is a reasonably aggro blind defender preflop. And there's always the ~2-3% chance the guy was getting frisky with KK-TT or air and the OP wins the hand outright.
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#13
12-13-2005, 12:41 AM
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Re: Own up! (low content)
Ah2c 12.5 % 0 6
A9,A8,AA,22,88,99,AK 87.5 % http://www.propokertools.com/simulator/s...amp;h4=&h5= this simulation is only over 24 trials. seems way off to me. i cant see our pot equity being 12.5% against that range in which were splitting against 1 hand and losing to the rest lol. could someone pokerstove this for me? mine is broke.
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#14
12-13-2005, 01:20 AM
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Re: Own up! (low content)
dude, threebets on turn.
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#16
12-15-2005, 03:20 PM
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Re: Own up! (low content)
Heh, well the point of this post is that I thought the opponent was a 2p2er. Maybe I'm wrong, since nobody owned up (or had the balls to). The guy was DumbAnimal. I'm playing on a trip in Asia, so I have no stats. Feel free to lol at me if the guy is 65/45 [img]/images/graemlins/wink.gif[/img].
Anyway, for flawless, I was popping on non counterfeiting river cards. I'm not asking repentance for the fold, it seems we all agree it's fine. Cyas
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#20
12-15-2005, 05:15 PM
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Re: Own up! (low content)
[ QUOTE ]
Wow. That's one helluva hand. Maybe he thought he *ahem* flopped the straight? [img]/images/graemlins/confused.gif[/img] We haven't had many of these types of posts in MHUSH yet...since excessive traffic hasn't been much of a problem yet I'm content to let them die on their own since they usually only last a day or 2. Anyone have any objections to that? Surf [/ QUOTE ] The great thing about this forum is that even the low content posts have high content. Nice to have a little conversation about how often plays like this get made at the higher level -- when you know that people can make the Big Laydown, being a complete idiot with nothing may be more profitable than it otherwise should be. On a run-of-the-mill 3/6 or even 5/10 (and probably 10/20) table, nobody folds top pair on the river, regardless of the action. For instance, anyone here ever coldcall a raise on a paired rainbow flop, 3+ players seeing the flop, with nothing, thinking that you can pick up the pot with a bet or raise on the turn and get the flop raiser to fold his top pair or pocket pair (or good ace or whatever) bcs you're representing trips and he knows that's the only thing a Reasonable player would coldcall with? EDIT: Check out TSTONE's "You'll probably hate this" hand for an example similar to that I'm talking about.
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