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#11
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i think your equity is more like:
equity (%) win (%) tie (%) Hand 1: 41.6033 % 41.31% 00.29% { 55 } Hand 2: 58.3967 % 58.11% 00.29% { 66+, A8s+, KJs+, A9o+, KQo } and i think thats a pretty loose range for UTG+1 facing an UTG raise. this looks like a fold to me =/ |
#12
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The problem in this hand and at this level, is that the blinds are so high, but I still don't want to min-raise ( I really think it's a bad play). A raise to 7500 would be better and will now be my raise under these situations.
With 55, I want to take it pre-flop. If I am called, the pot will be 25000 or 20000 (if called by a blind) so my CB has to be at least 10k. With 7,5k raise, the pot will be 20k or 16k, so my CB has to be at least 9k. That helps... |
#13
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This is a tough call. His range of hands probably puts you roughly about a 2-1 underdog. On the other hand, the pot is offering you roughly 1.8-1 if you call. You can't really make a decision this way, so you need to look at other angles. How imporant is the money to you? Are you looking to only move up, or are you looking to win? If the latter is the case, you may want to take a risk here to add to your stack and set yourself up nicely to make a run at 1st. Overall, I think a fold here is your best option. The pot just isn't quite biog enough, and you're virtually crippling yourself if you call and lose. I think you're still in a good enough position if you fold that you can find a better spot down the road.
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