#11
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Re: 999 vs LAG
The size of the pot doesn't matter here. We're figuring out the best play to maximize EV on the river, alone.
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#12
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Re: 999 vs LAG
[ QUOTE ]
p * (-2BB) + (0.9-p) * (+1BB) + 0.1 * (+0BB) > 0 -2p + 0.9 - p > 0 0.9 - 3p > 0 0.9 > 3p p > 0.3 [/ QUOTE ] This needed to be fixed badly. Based on the notion that the entire size of the pot being relevant here, the river going check/check and us winning has an EV of +1.3BB, which is wrong. |
#13
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Re: 999 vs LAG
bet call. Check call ain't horrible.
Krishan |
#14
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Re: 999 vs LAG
[ QUOTE ]
Yes but that doesn't matter. You have to take in account what you win when you win and what you lose when you lose. [/ QUOTE ] No, you can calculate the EV of a river bet without including the pot. He isn't folding you know. Krishan |
#15
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Re: 999 vs LAG
True is right. The Ev of the river player still depends on the pot size.
And villian doesn't just need a straight. He could also have a bigger set. |
#16
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Re: 999 vs LAG
[ QUOTE ]
True is right. The Ev of the river player still depends on the pot size. [/ QUOTE ] hmmm while my actual "expected value" depends on the pot size, the question is whether bet/call makes more money than check/call. assuming I never fold and villain never folds a better hand (pretty damn safe assumption) the pot size will have the same effect on overall EV for both lines. am I missing something? |
#17
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Re: 999 vs LAG
Why so many study?
If you think you are likely beaten just check/call if not bet/call river play is not that complicated thing |
#18
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Re: 999 vs LAG
[ QUOTE ]
Why so many study? If you think you are likely beaten just check/call if not bet/call river play is not that complicated thing [/ QUOTE ] Hi, welcome to 2+2. river play is a very, very complicated thing. I'll give you a huge piece of wisdom right here: if you're heads up on the river and first to act, whether or not you are have the best hand +/-50% of the time has almost nothing to do with whether to bet or check. |
#19
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Re: 999 vs LAG
Easy check/call.
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#20
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Re: 999 vs LAG
[ QUOTE ]
bet call. Check call ain't horrible. Krishan [/ QUOTE ] You don't think based on the pf and turn action that we are behind a lot? |
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