Better Poker In Less Than 30 Seconds (Part 1)

[mgsimpleton]

call but it's extremely close. because it was 30 seconds i couldnt calculate exact EV but it seemed to be a call. working through it now, ignoring KK, you just look at your EV of AA v AK... 6 ways to have 20% and 8 ways to have 75% seems to work out greater than 50... (6(.2) + 8(.75) )/14 = .514. i have no idea if this is how you calculate it but if it is then that seems right...

[Marnixvdb]

KK vs AK is 68%, not 75%.

Marnix

[turnipmonster]

there's 15 combos of AK and 6 combos of AA.

--turnipmonster

[LetYouDown]

[ QUOTE ]
there's 15 combos of AK and 6 combos of AA.

[/ QUOTE ]
16, but the half the K's are gone, so 8.

[turnipmonster]

sorry I was being stupid.

[turnipmonster]

someone let me know if this is wrong, I took some time to crunch it out:

EV of AA vs. KK is
(101.5*.17) - 100*(.82) = -64.75

EV of KK vs AK is
(101.5*.69) - 100*(.31) = 39.03

8 ways he can have AK and 6 ways he can have AA, so

((6/14)*39) - ((8/14)*64.75) = -20.52

not as close as some other people posted, am I doing something wrong. intuitively this seems right to me.

[Marnixvdb]

not anymore if you hold KK

[Skjonne]

fold

dunno why

[RYL]

Easy fold.

[pho75]

call- there are more AK combinations than there are AA's