#11
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Re: Decent Thanksgiving middle avail.
[ QUOTE ]
that seems right. My question is, how did you get Atlanta -3 +110 only 10 minutes ago? [/ QUOTE ] I had Atlanta -3 +110 on Monday. The question is if I should have just left it there and not tried to middle. I'm really not sold on Atlanta, something about them playing poorly, on the road, short week, but the public still believing in them over Detroit. I thought the line would move more in Detroit's favor later in the week, so I picked up this bet, hoping for "a middle, a hedge and the line I want." as was explained to me earlier in the week. The line didn't really move that far, but the money did a bit, so I took Detroit -3.5 a few minutes ago. |
#12
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Re: Decent Thanksgiving middle avail.
I don't like middles unless you can bet them both at the same time (especially soft middles). A middle to me doesn't seem worth it unless it is to win a few units (of course, the edge has to justify betting to win that much).
When you make a "normal" bet early in the week and the line moves later in the week creating a middle opp the payoff if it hits (still a very low chance) is pretty small. There are some people who supposedly make plays early in the week with the intention of middling later on. The early bets may be for considerably more than normal. These people make these plays with the knowledge that the line will probably move in their favor to create the middle opportunity. Unfortunately, if they are wrong and the line moves the other way, they are stuck with a big bet on a bad line. |
#13
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Re: Decent Thanksgiving middle avail.
[ QUOTE ]
I don't like middles unless you can bet them both at the same time (especially soft middles). A middle to me doesn't seem worth it unless it is to win a few units (of course, the edge has to justify betting to win that much). When you make a "normal" bet early in the week and the line moves later in the week creating a middle opp the payoff if it hits (still a very low chance) is pretty small. There are some people who supposedly make plays early in the week with the intention of middling later on. The early bets may be for considerably more than normal. These people make these plays with the knowledge that the line will probably move in their favor to create the middle opportunity. Unfortunately, if they are wrong and the line moves the other way, they are stuck with a big bet on a bad line. [/ QUOTE ] I pretty much agree with what Doug says. But, I rarely middle for the sake of a middle. For example, lets say I see a line of -6 and feel it has great value and the line is going to move with my action; i.e. 6.5, 7, etc.., I will bet that as my normal bet with the possible intention of buying some back. I stress "possible" here, because I already like my -6, but if the true line should be 7 and then moves to +8, I will really like that side as well. then I have to decide do I bet the same as my -6 bet or do I just buy some back. It really depends on the situation. craig |
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