AA vs. AA - Page 2

Toddy · #11 07-13-2005, 03:04 PM

The weirdest thing I've ever seen was that I had QQ and theres was 2 raises preflop. I called the raise. The flop was AKQ. First guy checks, 2nd bets, I go all in. They had AA and KK. We had AA KK QQ and they all tripped up on the flop. The AA held up.

capone0 · #12 07-13-2005, 03:05 PM

Folding Aces Pre-Flop in a Cash game is retarded. It's really hard at worst your 50/50 and against almost any allin preflop hand your at worst an 80/20 favorite. Hmm.......sound like a wuss to me.

lozen · #13 07-13-2005, 03:30 PM

Two nights ago

Try J-J against J-J and the next hand I get J-J again and split pot again with J-J The odds on that ust be outrageous

BungFly · #14 07-13-2005, 04:03 PM

I got this from Brian Alspach's website--I don't follow all the math, but it seems to be well thought-out:

In 10-handed game, there is a probability of .000166 that two players have been dealt pocket aces. This is about 1/6,024 so that you should see two players dealt pocket aces about once every 6,024 deals.

and

Upon being dealt a pair of aces, you expect to run into another player with pocket aces only about once in every 136 times.

Reference:
Multiple Pocket Pairs
Brian Alspach
7 December 2001
http://www.math.sfu.ca/~alspach/comp35/

pzhon · #15 07-13-2005, 04:21 PM

That two particular players both get AA happens 1 time in 52C4 = 1/270,725.

There are 10C2 = 45 pairs of players, so the probability that some pair of players gets AA is 45/270,725 = 1/6016.1.

When that happens, you have a 2/10 chance of being one of the players with AA, so you will have AA against another AA 1/30,080.6 of the time. By the way, that is also 1/221 * 9/1225 and 9/270,725.