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  #11  
Old 04-24-2005, 06:13 AM
cmwck cmwck is offline
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Default Re: Is this a value bet?

[ QUOTE ]
When the flop is K52 or something, you are going ot have to get involved ...



[/ QUOTE ]

Wouldn't you be more inclined to fold a K52 flop, since there are no draws anyone could be betting?
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  #12  
Old 04-24-2005, 06:17 AM
Shillx Shillx is offline
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Default Re: Is this a value bet?

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
When the flop is K52 or something, you are going ot have to get involved ...



[/ QUOTE ]

Wouldn't you be more inclined to fold a K52 flop, since there are no draws anyone could be betting?

[/ QUOTE ]

Against good players maybe but not so much against bad players. They will bet something like 65 all day long on a K52 board but will check and call 43.
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  #13  
Old 04-24-2005, 06:24 AM
cmwck cmwck is offline
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Default Re: Is this a value bet?

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
When the flop is K52 or something, you are going ot have to get involved ...



[/ QUOTE ]

Wouldn't you be more inclined to fold a K52 flop, since there are no draws anyone could be betting?

[/ QUOTE ]

Against good players maybe but not so much against bad players. They will bet something like 65 all day long on a K52 board but will check and call 43.

[/ QUOTE ]

Er, maybe I'm not getting this. If they'll bet 5's all day long on a K52 flop, they would certainly bet T's and Q's all day long on a KsQcTs flop. Anyone with a flush draw, a queen, a ten, a nine, or an ace will be calling the bet.
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  #14  
Old 04-24-2005, 02:27 PM
TheWorstPlayer TheWorstPlayer is offline
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Default Re: Is this a value bet?

This was exactly my thinking. I thought that the initial bettor could have any pair or any draw. Then each caller I put on a Q, a T, or a draw, since with this draw heavy board they would certainly raise top pair or better. But I called the flop because I was afraid the flop bettor had me beat. If he continued on the turn, I was folding. But when he checked the turn, I thought that I either had the best hand on the turn or someone had hit their flush or straight. So I raised to protect in case I had the best hand (many people would raise a flush or OESD on the flop, so I discounted those possibilities somewhat) and was planning on folding to a 3 bet. When it didn't come, I was assuming that I had the best hand and they they were either still drawing or they had a Q or T. So I thought about betting the river hoping to get a call from a Q, but thought that they chances that someone would check-raise me were too high, so I checked. I think it is close to a VERY thin value bet, though. And yes, I took it down - they each had queens.
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  #15  
Old 04-24-2005, 02:44 PM
Bodhi Bodhi is offline
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Default Re: Is this a value bet?

Fold the flop. The pot is small, and you almost have no kicker. Moreover, the board is super draw heavy and shares none of your suit. At .5/1 a lot of passive players will just call with hands like K9-KJ. Fold.

Nice raise on the turn. If you think you have a chance this is the way to play it, but I don't think you're ahead so fold.

On the river no one has shown much strength, but I'm not sure this is a value bet because of how often you'll be check-raised and lose. Any reads on the SB?
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  #16  
Old 04-24-2005, 02:49 PM
Buckmulligan Buckmulligan is offline
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Default Re: Is this a value bet?

The prelop limp is fine. The problem with calling and waiting till the turn is.
A) your hand doesn't figure to be the best all that often even if a safe card comes, as you have a [censored] kicker.
B) A safe card didn't come; I think it's tough to wait for a safe card when the board doesn't scream: "chase this particular straight/flush." There are all kinds of hands that can be helped by the turn and you have no way of knowing which are being helped.
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  #17  
Old 04-24-2005, 03:06 PM
Yobz Yobz is offline
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Default Re: Is this a value bet?

I would fold preflop, the flop, the turn, and check behind on the river [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img]
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  #18  
Old 04-24-2005, 08:29 PM
madscratch madscratch is offline
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Default Re: Is this a value bet?

Grunch.

I'm not a fan of Kx suited, so I fold pf.

But now I'm plagued with TP on the flop. I don't like the flop, though. I think I hope to get it checked through and get a random card on the the turn. Otherwise I fold on the flop. I've got no kicker to speak of, the 4 flush is there as well as the straight. I just think I'm losing more money on this hand than I'm winning.

Is that just too weak tight?
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  #19  
Old 04-25-2005, 01:39 AM
TheWorstPlayer TheWorstPlayer is offline
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Default Re: Is this a value bet?

[ QUOTE ]
Is that just too weak tight?

[/ QUOTE ]
Probably giving up pretty small EV if any and reducing variance. I think this hand CAN be played profitably, however, against such weak opposition.
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