AA in trouble on 4th street

[durron597]

[ QUOTE ]

Both of those statements are true. But given the size of villian's raise and the action so far in the hand that the chance that he has a 7 is better than the chance that he doesn't? Furthermore, what kind of hand would villian check-call the flop with and then make a tiny raise on the turn with?

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A post oak bluff? He *knows* you don't have a 7.

I think I call and check behind/fold to a push the river.

[augie00]

Then how much are you calling on the river?

[Moonsugar]

And this is a bad thing for AA?

[durron597]

I guess 400. But he only has two moves, allin or check, so that question doesn't really matter.

Yuck. I know I don't like the turn fold, and I'm saying yuck because I'm uncertain of folding to a push on the river.

[durron597]

It is when I outflop you.

[kuro]

[ QUOTE ]
But given the size of villian's raise and the action so far in the hand that the chance that he has a 7 is better than the chance that he doesn't? Furthermore, what kind of hand would villian check-call the flop with and then make a tiny raise on the turn with?

[/ QUOTE ]

You bet 100 into a 190 pot on a 2 flush paired flop and then you bet 200 into a 590 pot on the turn. That's not exactly a real show of strength. It looks scared. I don't think villain has to have a huge hand to raise it 300 here when you and mp1 have shown so little strength. He has AK,KQ-KT,QQ-TT, or maybe is even semi-bluffing the flush draw light more often than he has a boat or a set here.

I think you play Aces too timidly early. Bet more on the flop like 2/3 the pot. Bet at least half the pot on the turn. Don't be afraid of going broke here with this hand. That's actually a pretty decent flop for aces.

[durron597]

[ QUOTE ]
He has AK,KQ-KT,QQ-TT, or maybe is even semi-bluffing the flush draw light more often than he has a boat or a set here.

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That is why I hate the turn fold. But I don't see him pushing any of those hands on the river. Maybe he c/red the turn to win a free showdown?

[augie00]

Ok, well since you're all so very wrong I'll just end this chirade, he and LP went to showdown and he had 67s

[kuro]

If the river is a K or a club I'm check folding to all but the smallest bet. If it's a blank, I'm betting smallish for value and calling a push.

[durron597]

[ QUOTE ]
If the river is a K or a club I'm check folding to all but the smallest bet. If it's a blank, I'm betting smallish for value and calling a push.

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You are in position.