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  #1  
Old 08-18-2004, 08:00 PM
creedofhubris creedofhubris is offline
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Default Re: call bluff with AK?

[ QUOTE ]
Assuming the 178 were a half-pot bet, which is pretty close, you should call if you think there's better than a 1 in 4 chance of a bluff and fold if less. If you're not sure, look at your watch, and call if the big hand is between 12 and 8.

[/ QUOTE ]

Good analysis, tewall.

I find it very difficult to put opponent on a hand. It's clearly not a big pair, but a bad player could have a 3, or could have paired either of the other cards.
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  #2  
Old 08-19-2004, 01:56 PM
theBruiser500 theBruiser500 is offline
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Default Re: call bluff with AK?

[ QUOTE ]

Assuming the 178 were a half-pot bet, which is pretty close, you should call if you think there's better than a 1 in 4 chance of a bluff and fold if less. If you're not sure, look at your watch, and call if the big hand is between 12 and 8.

[/ QUOTE ]

I failed to look at it this way during the game. I have a very big aversion to paying people off (hence I get people telling me I'm weak-tight on here which I guess I am). So I just didn't want to pay off a better hand of his, and I decided there was a chance he had me beat so I folded. Had I looked at it your way, "is there a 1/4 or better chance I had him beat", the right way, I would have called. It just didn't make sense to me the way he played it, so I felt there was a good chance he was bluffing.
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  #3  
Old 08-20-2004, 06:35 AM
Trainwreck Trainwreck is offline
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Default Re: call bluff with AK?

I'd fold that 100% of the time in that circumstance, He called $150 in bets already, I find it hard to believe he didn't at least have ANY pocket pair there... otherwise he should fold to your $90 bet.

Looked to me like he was making sure the coast was clear, with your check/check announcing your weakness and then decided his PP must be good.... I still guess a middle pair there and going ALL-IN reduces you to put up or shut up... not such a bad player after all?

I see occasional brilliance from a seemingly fishy opponent, then again we are probably suffering from OVER-ANALYSIS.... but it's fun... [img]/images/graemlins/grin.gif[/img]

>Trainwreck<
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  #4  
Old 08-20-2004, 11:44 AM
ChessMan ChessMan is offline
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Default Re: call bluff with AK?

I'm an amateur. I have a hunch he paired up something or had a pocket pair. The way he played it is confusing. If he had a pocket pair, why the check on the turn? Maybe he was afraid you held a high pocket pair.

Perhaps if he is really bad he called with low suited connectors, and maybe one of them paired up, like the five, or the 9.
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  #5  
Old 08-20-2004, 06:25 AM
Trainwreck Trainwreck is offline
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Default Re: call bluff with AK?

I'd go with ANY pocket pair, the case 3 or AK/AQ.....

But, I'd not be surprized to see a medium PP here, very typical holding... Snowmen?

I take it you folded...

I would have...

>Trainwreck<
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