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#1
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[ QUOTE ]
Assuming the 178 were a half-pot bet, which is pretty close, you should call if you think there's better than a 1 in 4 chance of a bluff and fold if less. If you're not sure, look at your watch, and call if the big hand is between 12 and 8. [/ QUOTE ] Good analysis, tewall. I find it very difficult to put opponent on a hand. It's clearly not a big pair, but a bad player could have a 3, or could have paired either of the other cards. |
#2
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[ QUOTE ]
Assuming the 178 were a half-pot bet, which is pretty close, you should call if you think there's better than a 1 in 4 chance of a bluff and fold if less. If you're not sure, look at your watch, and call if the big hand is between 12 and 8. [/ QUOTE ] I failed to look at it this way during the game. I have a very big aversion to paying people off (hence I get people telling me I'm weak-tight on here which I guess I am). So I just didn't want to pay off a better hand of his, and I decided there was a chance he had me beat so I folded. Had I looked at it your way, "is there a 1/4 or better chance I had him beat", the right way, I would have called. It just didn't make sense to me the way he played it, so I felt there was a good chance he was bluffing. |
#3
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I'd fold that 100% of the time in that circumstance, He called $150 in bets already, I find it hard to believe he didn't at least have ANY pocket pair there... otherwise he should fold to your $90 bet.
Looked to me like he was making sure the coast was clear, with your check/check announcing your weakness and then decided his PP must be good.... I still guess a middle pair there and going ALL-IN reduces you to put up or shut up... not such a bad player after all? I see occasional brilliance from a seemingly fishy opponent, then again we are probably suffering from OVER-ANALYSIS.... but it's fun... [img]/images/graemlins/grin.gif[/img] >Trainwreck< |
#4
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I'm an amateur. I have a hunch he paired up something or had a pocket pair. The way he played it is confusing. If he had a pocket pair, why the check on the turn? Maybe he was afraid you held a high pocket pair.
Perhaps if he is really bad he called with low suited connectors, and maybe one of them paired up, like the five, or the 9. |
#5
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I'd go with ANY pocket pair, the case 3 or AK/AQ.....
But, I'd not be surprized to see a medium PP here, very typical holding... Snowmen? I take it you folded... I would have... >Trainwreck< |
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