#11
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Re: AQ I think I\'m ahead here but I\'m a wuss
[ QUOTE ]
If you think it's bad to raise with AQo in bad position preflop, aren't you saying that you prefer playing AQo out of position in a small pot with many players? [/ QUOTE ] From the blinds, yes. |
#12
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Re: AQ I think I\'m ahead here but I\'m a wuss
Minimum 6xBB. I would be happy taking the pot right here. The less callers the better. Plan to bet 1/2 pot if I hit the flop. If I get flop caller start to get real tight.
The action indicates to me that no one has me dominated. If they are simply trying to limp raise this will give me the information I need. I'm interested in getting rid of these limpers and isolating that AJ maniac. I limp in EP only bcause I haven't seen action yet. |
#13
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Re: AQ I think I\'m ahead here but I\'m a wuss
I disagree. I think you have the best hand. And if you don't the raise will let you know you don't.
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#14
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Re: AQ I think I\'m ahead here but I\'m a wuss
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I disagree. I think you have the best hand. And if you don't the raise will let you know you don't. [/ QUOTE ] With this many callers, you are going to have to make a huge raise (like 150) to really thin the field. Even if you do, you are still going to be called by 1 or 2 morans. Now you are playing in a huge pot out of position. If you raise like 6xBB (ie 90), you are very likely to be called in multiple spots. Again, you are playing a huge pot out of position. To make this profitable, you must be a big continuation bet when the flop misses you (as it usually will). By now, you've invested 30-40% of your stack, and you only have Ace-high. If called on the flop, you have little choice but to check and pray on the turn and river, and watch some clown take down a monster pot. Obvious I would raise if I knew I would flop an Ace, but in general, building a big pot out-of-position without a premium hand is mistake. Apparently I'm alone in this opinion amoung the morning crew. |
#15
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Re: AQ I think I\'m ahead here but I\'m a wuss
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Apparently I'm alone in this opinion amoung the morning crew. [/ QUOTE ] No, you're not. Raising this is bad. Let's also not overlook: UTG calls t15 |
#16
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Re: AQ I think I\'m ahead here but I\'m a wuss
I don't mind not raising this but since you didn't, stop trying to find the monster under the bed and call this. In fact, if every 2+2'er called every questionable flop hand they wound up posting, you'd come out way ahead.
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#17
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Re: AQ I think I\'m ahead here but I\'m a wuss
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] I disagree. I think you have the best hand. And if you don't the raise will let you know you don't. [/ QUOTE ] To make this profitable, you must be a big continuation bet when the flop misses you (as it usually will). By now, you've invested 30-40% of your stack, and you only have Ace-high. [/ QUOTE ] If you assume that you're getting called in multiple spots, then I don't think a continuation bet is all that profitable. That said, if you raise 6bb and get 2 calls, you'll hit the flop just enough for it to be profitable only when you hit a A,Q non-K, assuming you hold the best hand on those flops. Of course sometimes you won't and fish will have 2pair but other times, you'll double up after the flop against someone with Ax. So I think you can raise and play it only when you hit but IMO it's probably not all that better than just checking in the SB. |
#18
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Re: AQ I think I\'m ahead here but I\'m a wuss
I like the limp here. Suppose you raise, get called by one opponent holding 66. The flop is ten high, and you make a continuation bet of half the pot. Your opponent figures it is probably a continuation bet, and comes over the top. You have to let the hand go, but you're crippled. I wouldn't raise here with AK either.
Now, if the blinds were 15/30,I would strongly consider pushing here. At 25/50, I push every time. I don't like the fold at all. You say you have no reads, but I do, and I wasn't even at the table. The short stack probably sucks. It is very hard to lose 2/3 of tour stack at level 1. Maybe he had a really good hand that got cracked, but if his hand was that good, he should've found gotten all his chips in the pot. Very rarely will you find a decent player so short so early. So, what hands do you fear? AK is highly unlikely as there was no pf raise. So you are basically worried about AT, Ax making 2 pair, or a set. Either of your callers would have re-raised with 2 pair, so you should put them on weak aces or draws (one may be slow-playing aa set, but you have to take that risk). And the short stack would probably limp with any ace, and push when it hit. I think you're well ahead, and need to push to isolate yourself against the player all-in. By the way, I notice you said he had AJ. How do you know? Did he flash his cards after everyone folded, or did someone call his push? If there was a caller, what did he have? |
#19
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Re: AQ I think I\'m ahead here but I\'m a wuss
pf I usually mix it up and will either complete or raise. If I do raise I am not trying to "thin the field" but getting more chips into the pot with what is probably the best hand and making it more likely that if I hit the flop it is good. I almost never make a continuation bet if I miss.
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