Easy push, easy fold, or tough decision?

I fold regardless

AA KK and AK are really the most logical hands that UTG+1 has so your best bet is that your 50-50 against him (and that doesn't even take into consideration that UTG is still to act). I fold, clear cut.

[beenben]

Find a better spot. fold.

[NorthernGuy]

I would fold. I doubt UTG has KK or AA, but I'd be worried that UTG+1 does. Save the chips for a better spot.

This is a good spot for UTG to bluff here. He made a standard raise for this position to show strength, but I would not put him on AA-KK as if he was good player, he needs to vary his play from time to time. I would put him a high ace or king though. With no read on UTG1, he could just be trying to feign strength knowing it will be difficult to put him on a hand and with a below average stack to try to steal with pot sized bet.

With an M of about 12, and going against similar sized stacks this definitely is a tough decision. For me I would likely push and hope for the best.

[elmitchbo]

having an M of 12 in this situation is what makes the decision so difficult. if your M was much lower you'd have to think this might be your last chance to get your money in for a big pay off. if your M was closer to 20 it would make the decision either way easier to live with.

very tough lay down for me.... but i suck.

[grandgnu]

Based on 2.5 hours of play from the UTG player, you must give him credit for some sort of strong hand.

It isn't impossible for him to be on 10/10 or J/J. But given the percentages you posted for him, I don't see him making that raise UTG with anything but the following:

A/K
A/Q suited
10/10
J/J
Q/Q
K/K
A/A

Now, we don't have any info on the UTG+1 player, but his re-raise is pretty significant. If he's a good player, it should indicate A/K, J/J and above pairs.

While my first gut instinct was to push and hope for a coin-flip with a large pot that can put us into real contention (perhaps they are both on A/Q and A/K type hands), I think there's a good possibility we're beat here.

I probably wouldn't have taken that much time to think this through, I probably would've pushed with my Queens. But I think it's correct to fold here. You aren't in push or fold mode just yet, you have enough chips that you can wait for a better spot. Although the amount of chips in this pot are extremely inviting. We have the potential of tripling up possibly, in the least doubling up. But we also have a possibility of busting.

[Proofrock]

So I put UTG on AA-10/10, AK-AQ, and UTG+1 on AA-JJ,AK. Plugging this into pokerstove, I got the following numbers.

Against just UTG+1, QQ has 47.4% equity. Against UTG and UTG+1,
Hero: 34.98%
UTG: 27.67%
UTG+1: 37.35%

Given this, it seems like a push is in order. Do these hand ranges seem realistic?

-J.A.

I would add AJ for UTG and 10/10 for UTG+1.

I add these cards because they are less likely but take into account the probably that they bluff.

Hard decision.. Stars 10+1 is pretty aggressive...You have to consider that UTG will fold unless he has AA/KK and maybe AK, UTG+1 will call almost every time so there's no FE. Do you want to risk your stack for a at best coin flip...

FOLD