What to do here?

[TheHip41]

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What percentage of the time does my hand need to be good here to make a bet. Doesn't SSHE advocate 55%

LLL

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He's going to show J-trash alot here. Easy bet/call

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Turn: (4.25 BB) 6[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] (2 players)
BB bets, Hero raises, BB calls.

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A player like this will 3-bet the turn with two pair or better almost all of the time. Unless he has JQ you've got him beat and have to bet the river here.

I agree 100% with Westley878. This type of player would not have just called you on the turn unless he was bluffing or semi-bluffing. He may have caught his flush draw, but you MUST still bet this river for value.

[Ivanapolis]

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The villain will likely call close to any two in the BB, and he will checkraise that flop with any pair/any draw/sometimes total air. When he bets the turn and you raise and he calls we now know the villain is not bluffing so his range is now any pair/any draw. I hope you can see that even with this bad river card you are just too likely to be ahead here not to bet. I would not even qualify this as a thin value bet, IMO this is a standard value bet. If I'm checkraised I am never folding to this type of player, I would just call.

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Thank you all for the votes and the replies!!! I just played it the way that (by now) the vast majority -75%- would have played it. I bet-called. I strongly considered checking it down, cause the Qs was so ugly and I had the "1 to win - 2 too lose problem", but I thought, I cannot check down these aces heads up. Villian had Ks8s. Thank you for confirming me, that it was correct anyway. I also think that bet-folding is no option in this limit, against this opponent and with more than 10 BB in the pot HU.