#11
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Re: niner, niner
This flop check really does smell. It reeks of KK, but AA and AK are also possibilites. Then again, TT, AQ, and AJ are also possible. After the turn, I'm tempted to limit it to AA, KK, and AK. The question is, will it be AK (or AQ, AJ) often enough to compensate for the times that KK and AA cap?
It's too late, and I'm too tired to run the numbers. Somebody run the numbers. I'll check back in the morning. |
#12
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Re: niner, niner
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] but if he's only at raising 8% of the time [/ QUOTE ] Do you guys really read this much into stats after 40 hands? [/ QUOTE ] whoops haha no.... [img]/images/graemlins/blush.gif[/img] didn't even see the number of hands |
#13
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Re: niner, niner
I've done this before too, I'm not sure if your read is strong enough here though. It is a really weird sort of a hand to play, and I really think this is much more of a judgement call and not something that can be analyzed.
I do think the ace falling on the turn opens up the possibilities of what he might have a bit more making me lean toward him three betting. (If he's prone to slow playing he might have had AK, might have had AQ based on your statement that you had been stealing a lot of blinds. Players like that tend to get pissed easily at that, and will start playing back at you with hands they normally wouldn't.) But really, if you felt the call was the right play, I wouldn't sweat it here. We all have these bursts of revelation from time to time. |
#14
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Re: niner, niner
*grunch* You hit your set on the flop and check it down? Are you trying to hone that R-AG playing style? |
#15
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Re: niner, niner
[ QUOTE ]
*grunch* You hit your set on the flop and check it down? Are you trying to hone that R-AG playing style? [/ QUOTE ] only a true newb fish would think i wanted the flop to check through. congrats [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img] and i agree about this hand being hard to analyze. i've simply seen this play so often at absolute that i weighted AA/KK more than AQ/AK here turns out he had ATo and the SB had Q8o? absolute is nuts sometimes |
#16
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Re: niner, niner
I just can't stop betting that turn, and the main read for me is the fact that he checked through on the flop. Apparently I'm the only one who finds this extremely rare.
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#17
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Re: niner, niner
apparently at absolute, checking through the flop with a monster is standard
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#18
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Re: niner, niner
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] *grunch* You hit your set on the flop and check it down? Are you trying to hone that R-AG playing style? [/ QUOTE ] only a true newb fish would think i wanted the flop to check through. congrats [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img] and i agree about this hand being hard to analyze. i've simply seen this play so often at absolute that i weighted AA/KK more than AQ/AK here turns out he had ATo and the SB had Q8o? absolute is nuts sometimes [/ QUOTE ] I got 3bet last night by AJo on Abso. (naturally I was raising AT. [img]/images/graemlins/mad.gif[/img]) Seems really rockish for a while then all of a sudden... I don't mind the way you played the hand at all, because I think you're right. Generally the only time I see anyone slow down like that after 3betting preflop, they have a monster and they're trying to suck someone in. Hope you made a note on this guy. |
#19
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Re: niner, niner
[ QUOTE ]
absolute is nuts every minute [/ QUOTE ] |
#20
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Re: niner, niner
The more I think about this, I dislike the monsters under the bed on the turn more and more and think it may have cost us several BB. Have we considered the fact that SB appears to be hanging around? I'm probably more than 50% sure we are ahead on the turn, and if not, I'm definitely more than 30% sure.
More importantly, there are ten bets in the pot on the flop. That's a big pot that I don't think many donks at all would check through. |
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