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  #11  
Old 07-25-2005, 05:36 AM
JasonP530 JasonP530 is offline
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Join Date: Dec 2003
Posts: 3
Default Re: Call the river?

Dont call the river. The only big draw out there is something like 34dd or 46dd. Most people wouldnt open limp that in the cutoff and then cap on a draw. You hardly beat any busted diamond draws.
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  #12  
Old 07-25-2005, 07:16 AM
PokerMike PokerMike is offline
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Join Date: Nov 2004
Posts: 80
Default Re: My thoughts

[ QUOTE ]
but then I got to looking at that 10.5BB pot and thought, "Does a jackass play the non-nut [img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] draw like this 10% of the time?" I dunno. Just got me thinking.

[/ QUOTE ]

You shoulda thought 'is the probability he had a flush draw here times the probability he caps non-nut flush draws on the flop > 1/10?' Its not.
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  #13  
Old 07-25-2005, 09:03 AM
Jgents Jgents is offline
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Join Date: Jun 2005
Location: Beneath I-95 in a tent
Posts: 200
Default Re: Call the river?

Call the flop raise instead of 3-betting. You want overcalls in this situation; you don't have a made hand, you are drawing strongly though. Raising opens you up to the mercy of an already made hand and in this case it did, villain capped. Your raised also knocked out a player that probably would have given you action in the later streets had you made your flush draw, for instance. This is spewing.

Fold that river.
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