Odds of set over set occuring?

[Indiana]

Of course , aloiz's calculations are correct, but I think we are answering the wrong question....What he really needs to know is HOW TO ADJUST HIS 7.5:1 ODDS, given that he is up against an over-pocket-pair...

My understanding is that aloiz is calculating the prob. of the other guy hitting a set AFTER you hit your set...which is 14%...This is helpful because it tells us that our odds are worse than 7.5:1. But by how much exactly?

What we want are the odds of him hitting his set on the flop, and the opponent NEVER tripping up (all the way to river)....

Isn't this right?

Indiana

[Indiana]

Ok, so according to my calculations the odds of hitting your set and an overpair not ever tripping up are roughly 9:1 against u....So the adjustment is minimal, but still important...

Indiana