#11
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Re: american idol: intertops sportsbook has 2 straight bets and a bonu
it really was like a license to print money with those odds. a $110 cap was such disappointment.
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#12
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Re: american idol: intertops sportsbook has 2 straight bets and a bonu
[ QUOTE ]
any idol thoughts for next week? [/ QUOTE ] i think BO will win going away. however, i sold 132 contracts of him at $62 and have kept only 50. i did this because getting $62 on him with such an AMAZING AND STRONG talent in carrie, it would have been foolish in my mind to roll the dice. i made fantastic profit on him, and made great money on constantine. on top of these profits, i have 50 contracts to bring into the finals and i can now just watch for fun. however, if carrie blows him away tuesday i might sell the addl 50 before elimination. my avg cost on my bo's was well under $20. if he was facing anyone but carrie i would have not only held until end, i would have bought more. way too much can happen with a fan base as deep as carrie and $62 sell was too tempting to pass up. don't be mistaken tho, i think he is going to kick her butt. my choice was made because i could not justify the risk for the extra 38 points. finally, in idol history, there has been proven value to the underdog factor. her being the underdog all of a sudden, coupled with her raw talent can make this a very close vote. my general advice for a casual investor is this: if i had 20 conracts on BO, and i had bought them under $20, and the money really was important to me, i would sell them at the current $60. if the money is not that important, i would sell half of them. if the money meant nothing to me, i would hold them all. it has come down to personal comfort. i was ready to lose my entire stake, and had no intentions of selling because i ALWAYS felt he and carries prices were backward, so i had faith and was determined to hold until end because $30 for him was just insulting. the 40 point shift between the 2 made this plan change quickly. i was shocked to see him go from 23 2 weeks ago to 62. however, like i said, he still has to get thru carrie. not an easy task. this is NOT like getting thru diana digarmo (sp?) finally, remember this is not scientific, but there is a strong correlation between AOL members and those likely to vote next week. mae OUT |
#13
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Re: american idol: intertops sportsbook has 2 straight bets and a bonu
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not an easy task. this is NOT like getting thru diana digarmo [/ QUOTE ] yeah, but didn't you panic last minute and sell almost all of your Fantasia's IIRC???? |
#14
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Re: american idol: intertops sportsbook has 2 straight bets and a bonu
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] not an easy task. this is NOT like getting thru diana digarmo [/ QUOTE ] yeah, but didn't you panic last minute and sell almost all of your Fantasia's IIRC???? [/ QUOTE ] oh lord no. i paniced and contemplated, but did not. i had 109 contracts and *almost* sold half of them, but ended up holding them all. rumor had it that there was a 1% difference and that the show would shock everyone. what i think you remember is that there were lots of rumors i was spreading here and i think astro sold some early and yelled at me (righfully so) for spreading false rumors as fact. big difference this year is that. 1. i paid $38 for my fantasia's so i was not able to lock up such a nice score in advance. 2. i had not made a big early score like i did this year on constantine 3. fantasia was sooo far ahead of diana in talent that while i was affected by the rumors, i was able to keep control. carrie too talented and HOLY CHIIT, i got $62 per! he was 25 the day earlier! now, wanna hear the best part?? wsex paid me 2 times to NETeller. i had 2, $10,900 xfers the next day. i wrote inthacup and said "what would you do?" cup said "same thing you know you will end up doing, i would give it back" i left it in my NETeller acct for 10 days out of curiosity and they had no idea. i let them know of my error, and i could tell by the responses i got (i spoke to 5 people), that they NEVER would have found this... EVER. they took care of me great, but the $10,900 was SUCKED out of my NETeller account about 30 seconds into my second conversation with the person i was xferred to on phone. this is a previously untold GRANNY story. well, inthacup knew and he probably told the manwhores, but i did not tell the story here because people would have told me i was a fool. they can do that now. go fantasia. |
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