Gotta get in line to beat up on Negreanu heads-up...

[drewjustdrew]

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in the short term he'll likely lose a little more than he wins.

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In the short run, it is impossible to predict the match results.

[freemont]

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in the short term he'll likely lose a little more than he wins.

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In the short run, it is impossible to predict the match results.

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This is really useless nitpicking, ESPECIALLY since I did not make a prediction of the results, merely stated what was more likely to happen. If you move in with AK and get called by QQ you are more LIKELY to lose the hand than your opponent with the queens. It is impossible to predict the exact outcome of running that match-up a handful of times beyond saying, you'll likely lose a little more than you'll win...

[InfernoLL]

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in the short term he'll likely lose a little more than he wins.

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In the short run, it is impossible to predict the match results.

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This is really useless nitpicking, ESPECIALLY since I did not make a prediction of the results, merely stated what was more likely to happen. If you move in with AK and get called by QQ you are more LIKELY to lose the hand than your opponent with the queens. It is impossible to predict the exact outcome of running that match-up a handful of times beyond saying, you'll likely lose a little more than you'll win...

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Actually, you're the one guilty of nit picking, like making the distinction between predicting the results and stating what you think the results are likely to be. Those are the same, unless you're a nit.

Furthermore, flipping a coin a "handful of times" will usually not start to approximate expected value. If DN plays 12 matches as a 55-45 dog, he's very likely to either win much more or lose much more than 45% of the matches. This is the short term variance mentioned. Ignoring this was the problem with your post.