Official Week #3 lines for the "3+1 Challenge-2005" contest - Page 16

#**151** 09-26-2005, 04:28 PM

This is why I don't add commentary. Just laying out the picks can, in retrospect, look stupid, but it can never look cocky.

McGahee · #**152** 09-26-2005, 04:54 PM

Funny how you didn't quote me in either of the previous weeks.
+200 for the year.
Where are you biotch?

fnurt · #**153** 09-26-2005, 05:12 PM

The man has a point, when your picks sound like a pro wrestler writing horoscopes, you're going to catch some flak when you're way off. Yeah, sometimes society doesn't give you credit when you get it right, but life is unfair that way.

MyTurn2Raise · #**154** 09-26-2005, 05:46 PM

[ QUOTE ]
This is why I don't add commentary. Just laying out the picks can, in retrospect, look stupid, but it can never look cocky.

[/ QUOTE ]

I wouldn't get on anyone for giving their reasoning. This is a sports betting forum. I like the bits of info people give here. I weigh it into my picks. It helps make money. Not everything is golden, but I appreciate it when people try.

Of course, the tone is a little braggadocious, but I think mine is from time to time. I cannot put my money out there unless I have a little cocky swagger about the game and my understanding of it.

then again, I suck at NFL games, so I don't pollute the board with my line of reasoning. I just find the NFL has too much action on and attention to the lines for there to be much value. But, I did lay some money on the bar stool pundits picks this week (1/4 units).

My 1 cent, cuz I charge for 2 cents worth.

#**155** 09-26-2005, 06:04 PM

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I just find the NFL has too much action on and attention to the lines for there to be much value.

[/ QUOTE ]

I'm going to respectfully disagree, MyTurn. It is because of all the attention that the opposite is true. The NFL attracts the most amateur sports gamblers, by number and likely, percentage, of any sport and league. In sports which have lower $handles per game than the NFL, it is in many respects you versus the linemaker. In the NFL, the oddsmaker always has to account for the large amateur betting public in setting lines. Profit-taking potential is ripe in the NFL for exactly this high amount of action.

McGahee · #**156** 09-26-2005, 06:10 PM

[ QUOTE ]
The man has a point, when your picks sound like a pro wrestler writing horoscopes, you're going to catch some flak when you're way off. Yeah, sometimes society doesn't give you credit when you get it right, but life is unfair that way.

[/ QUOTE ]

I can see how my Oakland/Philly comments might've been interperated as elitist or whatever, but that's it. I even threw in a "IMO" at the end of my Cincy/Chi thoughts. What do you want me to say? "I flipped a coin and..."
Whatever...I don't think some deuchebag in the red who finished 0-3-1 last week and is looking up at me in the standings has any room to mock.

MyTurn2Raise · #**157** 09-27-2005, 12:51 AM

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
I just find the NFL has too much action on and attention to the lines for there to be much value.

[/ QUOTE ]

I'm going to respectfully disagree, MyTurn. It is because of all the attention that the opposite is true. The NFL attracts the most amateur sports gamblers, by number and likely, percentage, of any sport and league. In sports which have lower $handles per game than the NFL, it is in many respects you versus the linemaker. In the NFL, the oddsmaker always has to account for the large amateur betting public in setting lines. Profit-taking potential is ripe in the NFL for exactly this high amount of action.

[/ QUOTE ]

Sygamel,
I never thought of it that way. Your logic seems correct. Anytime I hear someone at the casino talking about a 'lock,' it's a 65% win to bet the other way. The NFL seems to be a magnified example with the amount of action and armchair 'experts.'
Maybe, I'm just trying to rationalize why I blow at picking NFL compared to college football, college basketball, and baseball. [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img]
I'll have to think more about this

lorinda · #**158** 09-27-2005, 01:21 AM

Reasoning is always a help. If the guy doesn't like your picks or reasoning, he should be smart enough to fade them all.

Edit: Part of the reason I post my reasoning is so that people can see that I'm a total punter. If they think that I'm into the land of the BarStool, that can only help them.

Lori

#**159** 09-27-2005, 07:41 AM

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The NFL seems to be a magnified example with the amount of action and armchair 'experts'.

[/ QUOTE ]

Precisely.

FishNChips · #**160** 09-27-2005, 11:42 AM

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All I can say is... wow! This has to be the best convoluted picking logic I've ever seen- bravo! Either you're a genius by Tuesday, or this could be the most ironic capping post in history.

If you outplay NoChance this week and lock up the top record, I award you the Week #3 winner's title.

Great post! [img]/images/graemlins/laugh.gif[/img]

[/ QUOTE ]

I sure hope that at least 1 person took the collar because at 1-3 (-800) I'm staring "scalf of the week" honors right in the face unless there were 0-4 (-1000) players.

I suck!
FishNChips