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#1
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Re: Fold AKs, Hand from 40k Gaur Tricky hand
Your not looking at AA-QQ or AK 75% of the time. In fact its considerably less. Villain could have thought MP3 was stealing and decided something like AJ was good for a reraise. I would say villain's actual range is something like TT-JJ, AK-AT, but I wasn't at the table. If you had been playing at his table for awhile and this was the first hand you saw him reraise with I might be a lot more worried. Hard for me to give advice without specific reads on villain and MP3. If MP3 has been very aggressive from LP lately the probability that villain has a monster decreases dramatically. If he has been playing solid I would be in for a tough decision.
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#2
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Re: Fold AKs, Hand from 40k Gaur Tricky hand
Thats one of the things though, this was the first time I had seen him reraise someone. My only remaining concerns is that playing this tournament to win, this should be a hand I want to risk it on if I want to get to the final.
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#3
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Re: Fold AKs, Hand from 40k Gaur Tricky hand
How long had you been at his table?
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#4
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Re: Fold AKs, Hand from 40k Gaur Tricky hand
I have played with this villan for 2 hrs.
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#5
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Re: Fold AKs, Hand from 40k Gaur Tricky hand
If you had been playing with him for 2 hours and he hadn't come over the top of anyone one time I might find a way to let it go.
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#6
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Re: Fold AKs, Hand from 40k Gaur Tricky hand
AKs is pretty cards, but with a solid read on Villain this is a tricky spot. The real question is, can you find a better one? How often had the players to your left been defending their blinds? Had you generally gotten away with stealing? Have pushes from short stacks been called liberally at the table so far? If it's a tough table to steal from, I might go ahead and stick it in there now, hoping for the best. But I think it's a marginal spot, so if you're confident you'll have other opportunities AND you are very confident in your read, I think you can let it go.
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