SNGPT says it's negEV....

[eastbay]

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I don't understand how you can expand CO range when he is pushing 17+BB into the big stack.


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Without any more information I consider the raise to be weakness (I'm better than BB but I want a way to get out if SB picks something up.)

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I also think BB has much less than 50% chance of doubling up with his random hand against CO's range.


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Well clearly this depends on point 1.

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I do agree that there are many circumstances where SNGPT over states your fold equity and this leads to misleading situations. Unfortunately, most of these situations involve calculating future actions and get complicated very quickly.


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True.

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Wouldn't the fact that BB could be eliminated a large percentage of the time if you stay out of the hand actually increase your fold equity in this case.

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Well first of all I don't think it's a large percentage of the time. Second, no, not by much, since if BB folds his 150 chips away, he's darn near busted anyway.

eastbay