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Old 12-29-2005, 06:10 AM
wall_st wall_st is offline
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Join Date: Jul 2004
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Default Re: 100NL full: Opponent is good and loose and capable of anything...

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Wrong, this is not even close to being enough to protect your hand.


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You give him 1:3 pot odds when you bet 1/2 the pot. An opponent is about 1:4.9 to hit a straight (8 outs) and 1:4.2 to hit a flush (9 outs) on the turn. You'll be keeping an eye on reads so you don't pay him off too much when he hits, so you keep his implied odds down.

That's my reasoning for it being enough to protect your hand. I'd be interested to hear why you think it is inadequate.

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This type of bet is inadaquate simply because you lose a lot of value assuming that your opponent is calling you with an inferior holding (ignore river context, let's pretend he really did call down with 99), since cash games are all about extracing the maximum amount of value from each hand, betting half the pot would decrease your winnings.
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Old 12-29-2005, 06:16 AM
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Default Re: 100NL full: Opponent is good and loose and capable of anything...

Yes, I see your point. Where I play if your getting your pot bets called on multiple streets they usually have more than one pair.
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Old 12-29-2005, 09:41 AM
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Default Re: 100NL full: Opponent is good and loose and capable of anything...

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Yes, I see your point. Where I play if your getting your pot bets called on multiple streets they usually have more than one pair.

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I see many, many palyers at the lower levels that will not fold a flush or o-e-str8 draw to a pot sized bet. This is where we make our money. Bet the pot or more, they will call. Sometimes they draw out, but when they call, you gain & they lose in theory.
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