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#11
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mistake a = mistake b.
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#12
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Betting the flop is correct, in my opinion. Given the read, I like the turn check.
Definitely bet the river. |
#13
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mistake a = mistake b. [/ QUOTE ] I disagree. Mistake A implies passivity, but does not offer a free card. whether our hero makes the bet or calls it, the price remains the same. Mistake B offers infinitely better odds than mistake A for drawing hands to catch and take the lead. |
#14
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You can disagree for reasons other than expectation. But from an expectation standpoint the mistakes are exactly equivalent. And that's all that really matters.
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#15
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here's an excellent thread over in SSSH that deals with this concept brilliantly.
the underlying concept here is that inflating the pot even when you have neutral equity is -EV when you have to peel again on a whiff. It doesn't apply directly to this turn play, but abstractly I think the thought process has merit. In this example though, betting the turn is only correct to the extent that --button would not have raised or checked through the turn and --button would have called a bet on the river if you had bet the turn, but would not have you had check/called it. |
#16
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I never said hero should bet the turn. I was simply pointing out that from button's point of view calling a bet instead of raising is no less of a mistake than checking instead of betting. Button's equity is what it is and she misses the same amount of value with either mistake in this hand. I think the turn check by hero is fine here though.
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#17
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do you guys like the standard check call here instead? [/ QUOTE ] actually i think id go with the standard bet/3bet for value if you are more than heads up if it were to get raised back to you id bet the river |
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