#11
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Re: tough 55 hand
I think villain could of easily backdoored into a flush with hearts and think you have a king or something. Is he the type to semibluff this turn? He could also have something like AQs and have thought his hand was best.
I'd put him on QQ, a flush, or trips kings most likely (It is weird to check the kings twice I agree). I dont like folding here to an unknown, you said you only hand 30 hands on him. What does the massive overbet from this player make you think? |
#12
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Re: tough 55 hand
Can you explain your reasoning for the small turn bet? Was it to induce action? I think I 3-bet this turn. River is tough.
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#13
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Re: tough 55 hand
[ QUOTE ]
What does the massive overbet from this player make you think? [/ QUOTE ] At .5/1 I find it is usually close to the nuts (atleast at party). |
#14
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Re: tough 55 hand
I'm betting the turn a little harder and sure as hell 3-betting
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#15
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Re: tough 55 hand
[ QUOTE ]
I'm betting the turn a little harder and sure as hell 3-betting [/ QUOTE ] it seems so obvious the guy has KK or QQ, 3beting is ...bah |
#16
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Re: tough 55 hand
[ QUOTE ]
Can you explain your reasoning for the small turn bet? Was it to induce action? I think I 3-bet this turn. River is tough. [/ QUOTE ] It was a stupid turn bet. I think I should have checked the turn and called any river. I was trying to bet an amount that AK-AQ could call down, and still get away from KK-QQ. I don't understand why everyone wants to go broke on this hand... Whould someone really play AK or AQ this way? AA is possible, but KK-QQ seems way more likely. |
#17
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Re: tough 55 hand
I was originally going to say 3-bet the turn, but then I reconsidered after reading Fallen Hero's post. Now I put the opponent's range at: AA, KK, QQ or AK. Each equally possible.
AA = 6 ways KK = 3 ways QQ = 3 ways AK = 16 ways So, there are 22 hands you beat, and 6 which beat you. This sounds like value-bet time to me. Which brings me back to 3-betting. Who agrees or disagrees with my range & my line? |
#18
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Re: tough 55 hand
[ QUOTE ]
I was originally going to say 3-bet the turn, but then I reconsidered after reading Fallen Hero's post. Now I put the opponent's range at: AA, KK, QQ or AK. Each equally possible. AA = 6 ways KK = 3 ways QQ = 3 ways AK = 16 ways So, there are 22 hands you beat, and 6 which beat you. This sounds like value-bet time to me. Which brings me back to 3-betting. Who agrees or disagrees with my range & my line? [/ QUOTE ] even if they are all equally possible I think AK and AA fold to a turn 3bet while KK and QQ stack you, so I don't think there's any value in that. PS: I don't think they are equally possible but it isn't an easy situation to quantify so I'd probably just do the same math you did and keep a mental note that the situation isn't as favorable as the math will show |
#19
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Re: tough 55 hand
[ QUOTE ]
I think AK and AA fold to a turn 3bet [/ QUOTE ] How often? |
#20
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Re: tough 55 hand
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] I think AK and AA fold to a turn 3bet [/ QUOTE ] How often? [/ QUOTE ] well, I'd fold 100% (unless I had AKh, wich we know by the river villain doesn't have). If I have to give a number I'd say at least 75% of villains fold AK and AA here, do you disagree? |
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