#1
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3rd barrel against massive donkey
Button is like 85/10/1 over a decent sample, with a WTSD of like 52. He plays every hand and seriously loves donkbetting. He keeps sucking out on me.
I know the rule of thumb is don't bluff the unbluffable, but, two things: 1) The only street he had folded yet was the river. 2) This could be a value bet. How's this? Party Poker 3/6 Hold'em (6 max, 6 handed) converter Preflop: Hero is SB with J[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], Q[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img]. UTG calls, <font color="#666666">2 folds</font>, Button calls, <font color="#CC3333">Hero raises</font>, <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, UTG calls, Button calls. Flop: (7 SB) 2[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], 6[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], A[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(3 players)</font> <font color="#CC3333">Hero bets</font>, UTG folds, Button calls. Turn: (4.50 BB) 6[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font> <font color="#CC3333">Hero bets</font>, Button calls. River: (6.50 BB) A[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font> <font color="#CC3333">Hero bets</font>... |
#2
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Re: 3rd barrel against massive donkey
It looked quite lag at first, but I think it's fine.
Edited to add: Referring to river bet. |
#3
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Re: 3rd barrel against massive donkey
Check the turn and bet the river. Why bet the turn if you know he will not fold? There is enough value in a river bet given the read, but the turn bet sucks IMO.
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#4
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Re: 3rd barrel against massive donkey
[ QUOTE ]
Check the turn and bet the river. Why bet the turn if you know he will not fold? There is enough value in a river bet given the read, but the turn bet sucks IMO. [/ QUOTE ] There's a good chance that the turn bet is for value. |
#5
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Re: 3rd barrel against massive donkey
Is raisng QJo from the SB vs two limpers (1 CS) standard for you?
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#6
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Re: 3rd barrel against massive donkey
Yes. Especially with Button in the hand.
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#7
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Re: 3rd barrel against massive donkey
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] Check the turn and bet the river. Why bet the turn if you know he will not fold? There is enough value in a river bet given the read, but the turn bet sucks IMO. [/ QUOTE ] There's a good chance that the turn bet is for value. [/ QUOTE ] Yeah, IMHO there's a very good chance that this bet is for value. edit: River too, really; there's not a very good chance he'll pay off but a decent chance that we're ahead here. Most of the winning hands that will call a river bet would have made themselves known earlier on. |
#8
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Re: 3rd barrel against massive donkey
meh I don't like it. Smells like tilt.
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#9
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Re: 3rd barrel against massive donkey
[ QUOTE ]
meh I don't like it. Smells like tilt. [/ QUOTE ] 'Smells like tilt' doesn't convince me of anything. Could you elaborate? |
#10
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Re: 3rd barrel against massive donkey
36,080 games 0.361 secs 99,944 games/sec
Board: 2h 6c Ah 6h Dead: equity (%) win (%) tie (%) Hand 1: 36.0685 % 32.23% 03.84% { QcJd } Hand 2: 63.9315 % 60.09% 03.84% { 22+, A2s+, K2s+, Q2s+, J2s+, T2s+, 92s+, 82s+, 73s+, 62s+, 52s+, 43s, A2o+, K2o+, Q2o+, J3o+, T5o+, 95o+, 85o+, 75o+, 65o, 54o } This is quite generous and you're not doing to well. Since his WTSD is 50 we can probably assume he's folding some of this crap on the flop. Therefore, I wouldn't bet the turn. If he bets, fold. If it's checked though and you get that river, you need to assess his looseness/aggressiveness. Will he bluff more then call. You can not bet/call this IMO. Therefore, if you can't trust his raise, c/c. My default would be c/c. |
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