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#1
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Re: TPMK type hands HU
I think check/call is correct with unimproved ace, IF YOU KNOW YOU ARE UP AGAINST ANOTHER ACE. But how do you know this?
The answer is "it depends". Would the other player passively just call if his ace/kicker did hit instead of raising? Would the other player put you on two overs and call down with second pair? (and might bet the river if you check your ace?) So it depends on what kind of hands the other player has shown and they have played them. Absent reads, and being reasonably sure you are up against another ACE, check/call the river is the safe route. |
#2
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Re: TPMK type hands HU
From PokerStove:
Board: Ac 9d 6h equity(%)win(%) tie(%) Hand 1: 54.5% 48.32% 06.15% { ATo } Hand 2: 45.5% 39.39% 06.15% { AA, A2s+, A2o+ } So if your only assumption is that opponent has an A and ignore all information from opponent's betting actions, then you are a solid favorite to be ahead at the river. But if the turn is a small card, you are no longer a favorite: Board: Ac 9d 6h 3s equity (%) win (%) tie (%) Hand 1:49.9% 46.52% 03.38% {ATo} Hand 2:50.1% 46.72% 03.38% {AA, A2s+, A2o+ } And if the river is another small card that misses you, you are a big underdog: Board: Ac 9d 6h 3s 8s equity (%) win (%)tie (%) Hand 1:40.3% 36.80% 03.45% { ATo } Hand 2:59.7% 56.29% 03.45% { AA, A2s+, A2o+ } I tried several different small cards for the turn and river and the results were almost identical. So I guess- No you should not bet the river if you know your opponent started with Ax and nothing in his betting suggests that he missed. Interesting. |
#3
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Re: TPMK type hands HU
[ QUOTE ]
From PokerStove: Board: Ac 9d 6h equity(%)win(%) tie(%) Hand 1: 54.5% 48.32% 06.15% { ATo } Hand 2: 45.5% 39.39% 06.15% { AA, A2s+, A2o+ } So if your only assumption is that opponent has an A and ignore all information from opponent's betting actions, then you are a solid favorite to be ahead at the river. But if the turn is a small card, you are no longer a favorite: Board: Ac 9d 6h 3s equity (%) win (%) tie (%) Hand 1:49.9% 46.52% 03.38% {ATo} Hand 2:50.1% 46.72% 03.38% {AA, A2s+, A2o+ } And if the river is another small card that misses you, you are a big underdog: Board: Ac 9d 6h 3s 8s equity (%) win (%)tie (%) Hand 1:40.3% 36.80% 03.45% { ATo } Hand 2:59.7% 56.29% 03.45% { AA, A2s+, A2o+ } I tried several different small cards for the turn and river and the results were almost identical. So I guess- No you should not bet the river if you know your opponent started with Ax and nothing in his betting suggests that he missed. Interesting. [/ QUOTE ] Wow, thanks for all the leg-work you did in helping solidify my observation. Good job! |
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