Spewing out of the Blind?

[chief444]

Rico,

I like the flop play and I think the river is close. If he called the turn with AK/AQ/AT he'll likely call the river as well getting 8:1 and knowing you may play a decent draw this way at least often enough for a call to be profitable. A good chunk of hands in his range you're actually ahead of or chopping with...QT, KT, KQ so that takes a lot of the value out of a bet. In other words, if he folds it's likely you had the best hand. At the same time I don't see your hand being worth a call if you check and he bets. So check/fold seems fine. But I think the first 3 streets are fine.

Also, I think in this case against this oppoenent a flop 3-bet would be likely if he had a decent draw so IMO it's more likely that you are behind and he's just calling down with something marginal not worth a raise.

Chief