aa vs set

[Fallen Hero]

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I'm trying to put myself in the opponent's place. Limp 5 handed with an 8-7 of spades? J-10? UTG?

Well, it's possible. Call $5 more to me? How drunk/frustrated am I?

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I can limp 87s or JTs and call a raise in position with it prefectly sober

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On the other hand this makes more sense if I hold a pair. What the hell; you could have A-K or A-garbage

Now on the flop, when you raise $12 and I go over the top and double your raise, I've either put you on a bluff (unlikely) am drawing to a flush and feeling very lucky

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I don't need to feel lucky to raise a flush draw here

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or--most likely I've either

a. Hit a set on the flop.

b. Think my pair of 10's J's Q's or K's has you beat with that ragged flop

So either go all-in or fold after 'my' reraise on the flop.


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It's not that simple and those are not hero's only options. If he 3bets here he folds all pp's and most hands he beats unless villain has a big draw, in wich case hero isn't much better than at a coin flip. Pushing and getting called here has you waaaaaay behind or slightly ahead.