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#1
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No, rather or not it was a winning bet is none of my concern. It's your idiocy that is of my concern. It also leads me to believe you've never so much as clicked on the link that goes to the Sports Betting forum, and after doing a search the fact that you haven't posted in the forum in a year makes me think I'm right.
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#2
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[ QUOTE ]
No, rather or not it was a winning bet is none of my concern. It's your idiocy that is of my concern. It also leads me to believe you've never so much as clicked on the link that goes to the Sports Betting forum, and after doing a search the fact that you haven't posted in the forum in a year makes me think I'm right. [/ QUOTE ] Having a bad holiday? I fail to see what relevance my posting frequency in the Sports Betting forum has to do with what I posted in this thread. This is only the 2nd sports bet I've made all year. The other was a rather large sum on the Bucks winning 35 or more this season, which appeared to be an absolute steal. I only bet when I feel I have a very good chance to make a profit. It's not clear to me what is so idiotic about what I posted. The Packers were going to have no running game with Fisher and Herron and were going to be forced to throw the ball way too often out of bad down and distance situations. Considering how poorly the OL has played for them all year and considering how poorly Favre has played for the majority of the season, I could not see the Packers doing much of anything on offense. For the Bears, having Grossman start was a boost compared to Orton. If any of that wasn't blatantly obvious to you going into the game, it certainly should be now. |
#3
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[ QUOTE ]
Bears were only favored by 7. Hopefully many of you got in on that one. [/ QUOTE ] [ QUOTE ] This is only the 2nd sports bet I've made all year. [/ QUOTE ] |
#4
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[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] Bears were only favored by 7. Hopefully many of you got in on that one. [/ QUOTE ] [ QUOTE ] This is only the 2nd sports bet I've made all year. [/ QUOTE ] [/ QUOTE ] I realize 7 is a large spread. I still think it was a very good bet. Unfortunately, we can't have the teams line up for 50-100 trials to see if it was indeed a profitable wager. As it is, I'll take the push and move on. Thank you for your cordiality. |
#5
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betting either team +/- 7 was a terrible bet. The Bears had a better line earlier in the week, and the Packers had a better line before game time. If you liked the Bears at -7, why not bet them in a teaser? The moneyline was around +280/-360 at that time - and an even money teaser has a break even point of around -250 (the low total had much to do with this discrepancy). The "1" is not worth nearly that much.
Bottom line is - this was the perfect result for those that were aware of the situation and put money on the Bears at -6.5 or better and the Packers at +7.5. Anyone who bet +/- 7 is a sucker, and will lose in the long run. |
#6
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Thanks for the advice. I should have indeed looked for a 6.5. I still think it would have been a profitable bet at 7, but it would have been much better at -6.5. I wouldn't have taken the +7.5, despite the fact that in this case it was the winner.
Next time I think I see a profitable bet, I'll keep my mouth shut. [img]/images/graemlins/grin.gif[/img] |
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