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#1
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Re: ($22)99 on bubble, raiser has been aggressive
I am pushing this. Especially if button has been aggresive like you say. In this spot, I need to get some chips at some point and how much better than this hand can I reasonably expect.
The only thing I dont want to see here is a higher PP...anything else I dont really mind seeing. SNGPT says it is a fold however..EV -$0.84 vs a range of: 22+,A2s+,A3o+,KTs+,KJo+,QJs |
#2
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Re: ($22)99 on bubble, raiser has been aggressive
SNGPT can't really do this very well, as you have to know both his raising range and his calling of a re-raise range. I guesstimate he would fold 25-33% of hands here, but that might be way off. For those calcs you need to do ICM by hand. It works out at his original raising range being about top 20% and calling range about top 15%. It's just a little tight for me to push that.
Oh yeah, and you would hate to see two overcards, you should be avoiding coinflips on the bubble especially with 10BB. This is obvious stuff, honestly. |
#3
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Re: ($22)99 on bubble, raiser has been aggressive
[ QUOTE ]
SNGPT can't really do this very well, as you have to know both his raising range and his calling of a re-raise range. I guesstimate he would fold 25-33% of hands here, but that might be way off. For those calcs you need to do ICM by hand. It works out at his original raising range being about top 20% and calling range about top 15%. It's just a little tight for me to push that. Oh yeah, and you would hate to see two overcards, you should be avoiding coinflips on the bubble especially with 10BB. This is obvious stuff, honestly. [/ QUOTE ] Man, you are so right so often, but sometimes you are way off and this tone doesn't suit you. This is EV neutral if button NEVER folds to your push. He will fold a significant portion of hands he raises here. This is a clear push. |
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