88 SB, overpair

Bit of a tricky spot. I think the flop play is fine. It's unlikely we'll fold out any overcard hands or marginal draws with a bet, and thus waiting for the turn, where our equity may change dramatically, is fine. Though, it's unfortunate BB led out, since it makes protection difficult.

Bet/3-betting or check-raising the flop here will only inflate an already large pot, and make it near impossible for us to protect our hand on the turn.

Turn is tough because of our terrible position, in my opinion. I think check/folding is okay here, given the size of the field. It's probable we're behind, and when ahead it's likely we'll have to dodge several river cards (any [img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], overs, & gut shot cards). Check-raising may be an option, after only two call, though BB has represented a lot of strength by leading into a very large field.

[gopnik]

[ QUOTE ]
I think the flop play is fine. It's unlikely we'll fold out any overcard hands or marginal draws with a bet, and thus waiting for the turn, where our equity may change dramatically, is fine.

[/ QUOTE ]

The problem here is that I really don't see that many safe cards on the turn. And, since we are first to act, we won't be able to face the field with 2 bets, meaning we won't be able to protect our hand on the turn even if we get lucky and get some kind of safe card.

[damaniac]

So are you actally suggesting I should c/r the entire table on this flop?

As far as turn, what cards are you donk-betting?

I was thinking about a 2, 4, 7, 8, 9, or T, probably no [img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img]. Eh might donk some of those as hearts, and I'm not sure about the 7.

[gopnik]

probably none heart 2,4,8 are your only safe cards. Not that many. C/R the flop is no good because you are forcing people to suck out on you. I'd just call the flop and try to c/r the turn on a safe card or something. I don't know. Tough spot.