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#5
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[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] - If coin flip, 50% to win $40, 50% to win $60 for a chance to win $100. I like those odds. [/ QUOTE ] This is fundamentally wrong. You have already won $40. You have a 50% chance of winning $0 and a 50% chance of winning $20 or $60 (according to your estimates of your 2s holding up). Don't get confused about that. It's important. [/ QUOTE ] Okay, you are right of course. But, I have the choice to NOT flip at all. That is where I am confused. |
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