#1
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Value bet this river?
Villian is 36/8.5 after 70 hands and seems pretty passive/bad but not horrible.
PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $4 BB (6 handed) converter BB ($427.10) UTG ($239) MP ($1348.55) CO ($250) Button ($400) Hero ($616.15) Preflop: Hero is SB with K[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], A[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img]. <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, MP calls $4, CO calls $4, <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Hero raises to $24</font>, <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, MP calls $20, CO calls $20. Flop: ($76) 3[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], 2[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], A[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(3 players)</font> <font color="#CC3333">Hero bets $60</font>, MP calls $60, CO folds. Turn: ($196) 9[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font> <font color="#CC3333">Hero bets $90</font>, MP calls $90. River: ($376) Q[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font> What's my plan for the river? Comments on all streets welcome. |
#2
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Re: Value bet this river?
check/call the river, try to induce a bluff and I'd probably pot the turn
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#3
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Re: Value bet this river?
[ QUOTE ]
check/call the river, try to induce a bluff [/ QUOTE ] Do you expect a passive player to bluff here? |
#4
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Re: Value bet this river?
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] check/call the river, try to induce a bluff [/ QUOTE ] Do you expect a passive player to bluff here? [/ QUOTE ] No but I don't expect him to call with any hand you beat. |
#5
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Re: Value bet this river?
That turn bet is pretty sick.
I'm thinking I might block the river... if he's sorta loose/passive you can hope for AJ/etc to call another $150 or something. The Q is a pretty terrible river card though. Checking and calling a small bet is also an option. If he's passive he probably won't launch a big bluff and you can make the laydown if he bets big (but I'd feel better about it if the turn bet had been more like $150). I guess it depends on the specifics of your read... 8.5% preflop raise doesn't seem all that passive IMO. It really seems like he would have raised by now if he had you beat, so it would really help to know a bit more about him to help put him on a range of hands. |
#6
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Re: Value bet this river?
[ QUOTE ]
That turn bet is pretty sick. [/ QUOTE ] Yea, as soon as i did it, i knew it was too small. Oops. [ QUOTE ] The Q is a pretty terrible river card though. [/ QUOTE ] I loved this river card because no draw got there and i really don't put villian on AQ (since he didn't raise PF) [ QUOTE ] 8.5% preflop raise doesn't seem all that passive IMO. It really seems like he would have raised by now if he had you beat, so it would really help to know a bit more about him to help put him on a range of hands. [/ QUOTE ] I don't have much more info on villian since i haven't been paying that close attention. He had like a 1 aggressiveness factor but i'm not exactly sure how to utilize that stat. I'm pretty sure i'm ahead on the river here so i guess the real question here is do i check and hope to induce a bluff from a possible diamond draw or do i make a 1/2 pot bet and hope to get paid off by a weaker Ace. If i bet the river and get raised i feel pretty confident about laying the hand down. |
#7
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Re: Value bet this river?
[ QUOTE ]
No but I don't expect him to call with any hand you beat. [/ QUOTE ] I can't say that i agree with this. If a weak Ace is going to call the turn, what reason do i have to believe the he will fold to a 1/2 pot bet on the river? |
#8
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Re: Value bet this river?
I bet 145 on this turn. River is an easy value bet, any ace pays you off, even easier if you said your read was villain didnt have AQ
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#9
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Re: Value bet this river?
i like a check call here or a smallish fake blocking bet and see if he would bluff raise me.
i would also bet more on the turn |
#10
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Re: Value bet this river?
[ QUOTE ]
or a smallish fake blocking bet and see if he would bluff raise me. [/ QUOTE ] nonono [ QUOTE ] i would also bet more on the turn [/ QUOTE ] I agree. And if he was like, really passive, I'd go with a half pot bet on the river, but as he's just quite passive, I'll give him a shot at bluffing. |
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