Hand vs Carlos Mortensen in Bellagio 3K

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Blinds 25/50. I have 5900 carlos has 4900...



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I'm putting him on aces w/ a good kicker or a flush draw.

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The reason I disagree w/ this read is that Shan has 1K more in chips than Carlos. Shan will be somewhat crippled if he loses the hand, but Carlos is gone. I can't see less than a flush. I still think he has a boat.