Re: Does a tiny baiting river bet ever work?
rwanger,
by weak bet i mean 1/5 pot or so. when i make this bet i am almost certain he was on a draw. if i make a 3/5 pot bet and he has made a weak hand like middle pair how often is he calling? well this is opponent dependant but i have no way of knowing he has made a weak hand, sure if i knew it he rivered 2PTK, or was a stubborn qq etc. i would make a larger bet; but, since i think he is almost always on air i like the 1/5 bet.
when u say weak bet do u mean a bet weaker than 1/5? i rarely, if ever, make a bet less than 1/5 pot and hardly ever make a 1/5 pot bet. but i think 1/5 pot bet has value when villain has made very weak hand that has some showdown value. if nothing else he may calling thinking "hey i have a pair and it is only x amount of dollars to call", and really think nothing of the call; whereas hero can squeak out a little more value from what is essentially a missed draw.
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