#1
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Does this situation exist?
In a head-to-head situation, you're ahead after the flop, but are still an underdog if the hand shows down.
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#2
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Re: Does this situation exist?
[ QUOTE ]
In a head-to-head situation, you're ahead after the flop, but are still an underdog if the hand shows down. [/ QUOTE ] AA vs. 15 out draw. The draw alone is 54%. AA vs. flush draw + str8 draw 56.26% 13 outs is 48%, but an extra pair make this 58.59%: AA vs. flush draw + gutshot + pair 58.59% This draw is almost a 2-1 favorite: AA vs. str8 flush draw + pair 64.65% This one wouldn't be > 50% without the 3-str8: AA vs. flush draw + 3-str8 + pair 52.53% Here are some more with small pair vs. 1 or 2 bigger cards: 33 vs JTo + str8 draw 50.61% (33 has backdoor flush draw) 33 vs. JTs + flush draw 53.84% (33 has gut shot) 88 vs. A5s + flush draw + gut shot (1 over card) 54.74% |
#3
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Re: Does this situation exist?
Good stuff.
Thanks, Bruce |
#4
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Re: Does this situation exist?
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] In a head-to-head situation, you're ahead after the flop, but are still an underdog if the hand shows down. [/ QUOTE ] AA vs. 15 out draw. The draw alone is 54%. AA vs. flush draw + str8 draw 13 outs is 48%, but an extra pair make this 58.6%: AA vs. flush draw + gutshot + pair This draw is almost a 2-1 favorite: AA vs. str8 flush draw + pair [/ QUOTE ] Make it an underpair facing 2 overcards and a str8 flush draw and the pair only has 28% equity: Link This is the worst case scenario I could find. |
#5
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Re: Does this situation exist?
Holdem Hi: 990 enumerated boards containing 8s Kd Td
cards win %win lose %lose tie %tie EV Qd Jd 710 71.72 274 27.68 6 0.61 0.720 3s 3h 274 27.68 710 71.72 6 0.61 0.280 |
#6
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Re: Does this situation exist?
I added some examples with a small pair vs. 1 or 2 bigger cards to my original post. Also 1 with a 3-str8.
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#7
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Re: Does this situation exist?
This one is slightly worse, since it prevents split pots...
Holdem Hi: 990 enumerated boards containing 8d Jh Th cards win %win lose %lose tie %tie EV 2s 2c 274 27.68 716 72.32 0 0.00 0.277 Kh Qh 716 72.32 274 27.68 0 0.00 0.723 -RMJ |
#8
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Re: Does this situation exist?
Damn,
When I thought of the question, I figured it would be 22 against an open-ended + four flush, but I didn't realize the latter could be "such" a big favorite. |
#9
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Re: Does this situation exist?
Even better: You flop the nuts, but are still a dog:
pokenum -h 6d 7d - tc jc -- 5h 8c 9c Holdem Hi: 990 enumerated boards containing 9c 8c 5h cards win %win lose %lose tie %tie EV 7d 6d 465 46.97 525 53.03 0 0.00 0.470 Jc Tc 525 53.03 465 46.97 0 0.00 0.530 |
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