#1
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The Double Min Raise
Live full ring 5/10 NL; I've got about $1000; opponent has around $1300; we're on the second orbit of the button since I sat down and this is the first pot my opponent has played.
Table folds to me in MP with 8c,8s. I make it $30 to go. Folds to SB who makes it $60. BB folds. I call. Flop: 8, 10, Q rainbow ($130 in the middle) SB checks, I bet $125, SB min raises to $250. Never having played the guy before, the preflop min raise followed by the flop check/min raise confuses me. I decide his most likely holding is AK or AJ but I don't have alot of conviction in that. Is pushing here with bottom set the optimal play given how the action went down? |
#2
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Re: The Double Min Raise
pushing is fine, he probab has AA/KK
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#3
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Re: The Double Min Raise
I would say the chances of him having AK or AJ are next to zero. Chances are MUCH better that he has AA, KK, QQ or TT.
Ill say 40% AA 30% KK 20% QQ 5% TT 5% anything else. |
#4
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Re: The Double Min Raise
i have been remin raised at 5/10 by Q4o
he could easily have a hand like AJ on this board, btw thats a double gutter and the play makes something similar to sense i think AA/KK is the most likely but the hands listed are REALLY not the only possibilities |
#5
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Re: The Double Min Raise
call
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#6
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Re: The Double Min Raise
[ QUOTE ]
pushing is fine, he probab has AA/KK [/ QUOTE ] If he is one of the conventional min-raisers who do what they do to "see where they're at for cheap" and you think he probably has AA/KK, pushing can't be the optimal play. |
#7
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Re: The Double Min Raise
Why not? People who play AA like that dont fold it very often.
He'll be alot more apt to fold it if any card 9 or higher hits the board. |
#8
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Re: The Double Min Raise
[ QUOTE ]
pushing is fine, he probab has AA/KK [/ QUOTE ] that's a pretty [censored] board for bottom set...I'd ponder a push and pray he is overplaying AQs but I think I have to call to take one off against him if I have NO READ. Pushing makes so sense here...when is bottom set on a draw heavy board worth $1000 ??? |
#9
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Re: The Double Min Raise
[ QUOTE ]
Pushing makes so sense here...when is bottom set on a draw heavy board worth $1000 ??? [/ QUOTE ] Pretty often, moreso when it is a draw heavy board. |
#10
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Re: The Double Min Raise
[ QUOTE ]
I would say the chances of him having AK or AJ are next to zero. Chances are MUCH better that he has AA, KK, QQ or TT. Ill say 40% AA 30% KK 20% QQ 5% TT 5% anything else. [/ QUOTE ] This looks right to me. |
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