Hat trick on the turn

[SeaEagle]

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Thinks my reads are crazy even though I am right most of the time.


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I think this is the entire crux of your post. Basically, you are asking "should I make low percentage plays because I can smell weakness so well?"

Personally, I can't answer that. I don't smell weakness particularly well, so I play like Mentor Dan. I don't recommend that Mentor Dan or myself make plays based on our instincts. Yours are apparently better honed than ours though, so maybe these plays are good for you.

Incidentally, in the example you gave (rainbow board of Q852 that was checked around on both the flop and turn), I'm willing to give you good odds that nobody had anything better than a pair of 2s.

I'm also wondering if Q85 rainbow is a flop that likely would have helped your opponents, what are the possible flops that don't help your opponents? Maybe my instincts are better than I think, because I bluff into a ragged flop like that against 3 or 4 opponents a heck of a lot more than 4 times a month and, yes, it's profitable for me too.