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#1
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Re: A6s and middle pair, raggedy board
Because the CO is so tight preflop I think you will be behind more often; also I think is hard to make it heads up with him with this bet hoping for him to raise. I think i would have just checked and called 1 bet hoping to improve in the turn. |
#2
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Re: A6s and middle pair, raggedy board
You have a maximum of 5 outs. 2 of them are not clean. So I think there is no way to check/call. Even with callers in front of you I would either bet out or check/fold.
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#3
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Re: A6s and middle pair, raggedy board
[ QUOTE ]
You have a maximum of 5 outs. 2 of them are not clean. So I think there is no way to check/call. Even with callers in front of you I would either bet out or check/fold. [/ QUOTE ] I think the check call can be done but not always; it needs something to give us odds for instance when he bets and all call. |
#4
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Re: A6s and middle pair, raggedy board
Then the probability that at least one of them is on a flush draw increases a lot and that reduces your outs. And you can't draw at three outs in this pot, I think, with a very tight preflop raiser. Even if all call you only get 8.5:1 and even with implied odds a call to 3-4 outs is -EV imo.
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#5
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Re: A6s and middle pair, raggedy board
If youre planning on calling, you might as well bet out on the flop and hope to get better hands to fold(ie J9 or something)
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#6
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Re: A6s and middle pair, raggedy board
[ QUOTE ]
If youre planning on calling, you might as well bet out [/ QUOTE ] I wouldn't plan on calling though. |
#7
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Re: A6s and middle pair, raggedy board
I think this is very read-dependent. If you think the CO is the type to raise overs AND check the turn unimproved for the free card, then this is a good play. Otherwise, I'd probably check fold the flop.
I don't know if you can have that sort of read on him after only 40 hands (although his aggression rating suggests that it is), but I do know that 40 hands isn't enough to judge his PF raise standards to be so strict that you're only reverse dominating AK. I have a PF raise percentage of around 9% and it's not uncommon for me to go 40 hands without ANY PF raises when I'm running cold. If his range is AA-JJ, AK & AQ, you are a slight favorite to be ahead - if you take out the AQ, he is a slightly better favorite, so your advantage is going to come from how easy he is to read. |
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