Value betting the river

[Staycool]

I agree that this is a pretty good spot for a value bet, but there's something about this logic that I find a bit confusing. Say Villain has KQc or 78c, or even JJ, hands which hit the river big. If villain open pushes the river, is hero always going to make a call getting 3:1? (I think I find a fold versus certain villains, though we have no read here.) On the other hand, if villain knows that everyone value bets their overpairs in spots like this, then checking the river seems like a +EV play, since it'll ensure that the money gets in after the check-raise. (It also gives hero a chance to bluff his missed draws, the times he has a hand like AKd.)

I'm a winner in the 1/2 game and I never have any of those T type hands op mentioned...you may get a crying call from TJ or JQ though.