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Re: 3/6 77 river valuebet?
[ QUOTE ]
villian is unknown, just sat down a couple hands ago. Party Poker 3/6 Hold'em (6 max, 6 handed) converter Preflop: bottomset is MP with 7, 7. 1 fold, bottomset raises, CO calls, 1 fold, SB calls, 1 fold. Flop: (7 SB) 5, 4, 6 (3 players) SB checks, bottomset bets, CO calls, SB calls. Turn: (5 BB) J (3 players) SB checks, bottomset bets, CO folds, SB calls. River: (7 BB) J (2 players) SB checks, bottomset ? is this an easy river bet against an unknown? how about if the river was the J or J ? [/ QUOTE ] The interesting thing about this is that you have 77, which makes it significantly less likely that villain is on a str8 draw. Let's break it down a little bit. Villain could have a pair or be on a str8 or flush draw. To figure out what villain has a read would be very helpful. Most players at higher limits would've raised with a pair on this board, which suggests that he's on a draw, which means that a river bet would NOT be correct. Since you have no read, though, and since you have 77, which makes it much less likely he's on a straight draw, the likelihood he has a pair and will call you with the worse hand probably makes the river bet +EV. |
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