Monday mlb action

charmy · #1 09-12-2005, 02:58 AM

Is this how you win in baseball handicapping in the long run by betting with the underdog when there is a pitching mismatch? I have confirmed your facts. It does look like a good play.

MHoydilla · #2 09-12-2005, 03:53 AM

Im on:
Tor +129
Tor -1.5 +230

Added the Reverse Runline at a little better price (Pinnacle)

whipsaw · #3 09-12-2005, 09:37 AM

[ QUOTE ]
Is this how you win in baseball handicapping in the long run by betting with the underdog when there is a pitching mismatch? I have confirmed your facts. It does look like a good play.

[/ QUOTE ]
I'll let mrbaseball go into the diatribe about finding value in mlb, but generally you look for situations where one team is getting a more favorable line than their true odds to win the game. This is generally underdogs, often on the road, because favorites tend to get overbet which pushes the line too far in the dog's favor. This means you can have a win rate well under 50% and still be rolling in it by betting the mlb (such as fading the Yanks this season).