#1
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Standard Top Set(66) Party 2/4
I have a very aggressive image, but it doesn't matter at this table because villain had just sat down and I ended up only having 22 hands on him at the end of this session. Easy decision to move it all in on the flop? Am I going to force big draws/two pair/overpairs to fold with a play like this? Curious how everyone else plays this hand.
Party Poker No-Limit Hold'em, $ BB (7 handed) converter Button ($556.55) SB ($175.40) BB ($330.10) Hero ($700.70) MP1 ($554.30) MP2 ($458.10) CO ($383.90) Preflop: Hero is UTG with 6[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], 6[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]. SB posts a blind of $2. Hero calls $4, <font color="#666666">2 folds</font>, CO calls $4, <font color="#666666">2 folds</font>, BB checks. Flop: ($14) 6[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], 3[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], 2[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(3 players)</font> BB checks, <font color="#CC3333">Hero bets $9</font>, <font color="#CC3333">CO raises to $18</font>, BB folds, <font color="#CC3333">Hero raises to $50</font>, <font color="#CC3333">CO raises to $150</font>, Hero ??? |
#2
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Re: Standard Top Set(66) Party 2/4
could he not have 45 here? With all that raising it looks like a smaller set or the straight, the re-raises dont make sense for 2 pair or even a flush draw or over pair, for they would just call your re-raise to 50.
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#3
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Re: Standard Top Set(66) Party 2/4
I doubt that he has two pair given the board, obviously the straight is possible but I don't think that you're worried about that and neither am I (at least not without any info on player). If 2 pair is out of the question, then he probably has 77-TT (assuming any bigger pair would have raised prelop), a set or a big draw. Given that he would be scared by many turn cards if he has a mid-overpair, and if he has a draw hes not going anywhere, I'd say a push here is optimal.
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#4
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Re: Standard Top Set(66) Party 2/4
I just dont see 1010 here or and over pair for that matter, I know there are bad players on this site but all these re-raises is screaming a set or straight, either way I say push.
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#5
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Re: Standard Top Set(66) Party 2/4
You're up against another set, a straight, a big draw (A2c-A5c) or a horribly played overpair (this line is not that uncommon for JJ-AA on Party I'm happy to say).
You're beating 3 out of these 4 situations pretty badly (he's 30% at best) and if he has the straight, you're still 35% to win (30% if he has the best possible here, 4c5c). The 3 out of 4 things you're beating can definitely outdraw you, therefore pushing is your only move. I wouldn't be surprised to see 45s more likely than any other hand here, however I still think this push is definitely +EV. |
#6
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Easy push
DO IT
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#7
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Re: Standard Top Set(66) Party 2/4
I started to say that OOP, you must push this...
but I can see a case for calling. If he has a lower set and you smooth-call/check, he will push the turn (if its a non-club). If you re-raise all-in on flop and he has 22, he might lay-down -- (but I doubt most players would). given his betting pattern, I just don't think he has 2 clubs, unless its 5[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] 4[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img]... 2-pair seems unlikely given the board cards... so how often will he lay-down a set here after already putting that much money in? Net net, I see an argument for calling if he has an overpair or a smaller set and will push the turn... but too many cards might kill that action... net net, he has 77-99, a small set or 54... most of the time he won't get away from his set if you push here so push in case a club comes on turn and just suckout vs 54... |
#8
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Re: Standard Top Set(66) Party 2/4
I probably push because I don't expect him to fold, but I don't think it's necessarily bad to wait. After putting half his stack in on the flop I don't see how this guy can fold the turn/river if you bleed him one street at a time, regardless of the action killers that come off.
Also, I definitely raise PF. The Bear |
#9
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Re: Standard Top Set(66) Party 2/4
[ QUOTE ]
The 3 out of 4 things you're beating can definitely outdraw you, therefore pushing is your only move. [/ QUOTE ] That doesn't make any sense to me. |
#10
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Re: Standard Top Set(66) Party 2/4
[ QUOTE ]
Also, I definitely raise PF. [/ QUOTE ] Why is this? Game is 7-handed. You dont want anyone else to take control of the hand or...? It's just not fun to get 3 callers (unless you flop a set). And if someone makes a big reraise, you should probably fold when you could have limped in, called a standard raise and flopped a set. |
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