What I hate the most - 2pr on 4th

[RayGarlington]

Well, things seem clearer this morning!

I was only giving us credit for 6% of the opponents bets then looking at our bet in isolation. i.e. I should have been thinking "for every bet that goes in I get 40%, the opponents split 60%" or the way Andy put it "we're putting in 33% and our equity is 40% so we're gaining not losing"

rats. someday I'll be right.