#1
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I\'m hating myself for this fold, but....
At the time I misread villain's stats as sLP-P and figured it was a standard tricky-fish stop-n-go with the flopped trips. Today I'm replaying all my lost hands from last night, and seeing villain was actually sLP-A. I have around 300 hands, and he's 26/4.5/1.69, but with only 1.05 turn aggression.
So, was this fold ok or weak? Party Poker 1/2 Hold'em (9 handed) converter Preflop: Hero is MP2 with K[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], K[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]. <font color="#666666">3 folds</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Hero raises</font>, MP3 calls, <font color="#666666">2 folds</font>, SB calls, BB calls. Flop: (8 SB) 2[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], 3[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], 3[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(4 players)</font> SB checks, <font color="#CC3333">BB bets</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Hero raises</font>, MP3 calls, SB folds, BB calls. Turn: (7 BB) 4[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(3 players)</font> <font color="#CC3333">BB bets</font>, Hero folds, MP3 calls. |
#2
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Re: I\'m hating myself for this fold, but....
yah dude. thats weak. i'd raise the turn.
remember, your villian's autorating may have changed during the course of your session...(he could have been more passive earlier). |
#3
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Re: I\'m hating myself for this fold, but....
Raise the turn.
Call a river bet. |
#4
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Re: I\'m hating myself for this fold, but....
Very weak. Players will play this way with any pocket pair because it's an overpair to the board. I think I go into calldown mode when villian leads the turn.
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#5
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Re: I\'m hating myself for this fold, but....
[ QUOTE ]
Very weak. Players will play this way with any pocket pair because it's an overpair to the board. I think I go into calldown mode when villian leads the turn. [/ QUOTE ] Agreed. |
#6
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Re: I\'m hating myself for this fold, but....
[ QUOTE ]
Very weak. Players will play this way with any pocket pair because it's an overpair to the board. I think I go into calldown mode when villian leads the turn. [/ QUOTE ] How about a raise to get rid of the other opponent? |
#7
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Re: I\'m hating myself for this fold, but....
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] Very weak. Players will play this way with any pocket pair because it's an overpair to the board. I think I go into calldown mode when villian leads the turn. [/ QUOTE ] How about a raise to get rid of the other opponent? [/ QUOTE ] A raise is fine I guess but I don't do it in this situation. I want to get to a cheap showdown and expect to lose a great deal of the time but win enough to make seeing the showdown profitable. This includes losing pots when the other guy hits on the river. I would do it if there were more players to punch out or if I felt strongly that we were still ahead a great deal of the time. I let the other player hang around because I'm not sure the extra bet we spend + the chances of getting reraised is worth it when he might have folded anyways. |
#8
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Re: I\'m hating myself for this fold, but....
Downloaded PokerStove. Nice little app.
Anyway, estimated a hand distribution for the two villains and ran the numbers. <font class="small">Code:</font><hr /><pre> 1,099,896 games 0.911 secs 1,207,350 games/sec Board: 3s 3h 4c 2d Dead: equity (%) win (%) / tie (%) Hand 1: 24.3175 % [ 00.24 00.00 ] { KsKd } Hand 2: 65.7452 % [ 00.66 00.00 ] { TT-22, A3s, K3s, Q3s, J3s, T3s, 93s, 83s, 73s, 63s, 53s, 43s, 32s, A3o, K3o, Q3o, J3o, T3o, 93o, 83o, 73o, 63o, 53o, 43o, 32o } Hand 3: 09.9373 % [ 00.10 00.00 ] { JJ-44, 22, AKs-A2s, KQs-KTs, QJs, JTs, T9s, 98s, 87s, 76s, 65s, 54s, AKo-ATo, KQo-KTo, QJo, JTo } </pre><hr /> Basically gave BB any low-mid pair and any 3, and the other villain a somewhat loose set of limp-calling hands. Sound ok? If I call down I'm getting somewhere between 4.5-1 and 5.5-1 (depending on the third man calling or not), and with a 24% equity it should be profitable if villain plays all these hands exactly like this...but I'm very often seeing the stop-and-go from passive players with big hands, so I'm not sure that's the case. Maybe I'm just going into a shell after hitting my first 10k+ hand downswing [img]/images/graemlins/frown.gif[/img] |
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