#1
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AK unimproved in holdem
What percentage of the time can you expect to win a heads up hand in holdem while holding AK that goes unimproved?
Also what percentage can you expect to win with Big Slick unimproved vs. 2 opponents? Note: This is assuming that none of your opponent/opponents are holding a pocket pair. |
#2
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Re: AK unimproved in holdem
Just fold and be done with it. I know its hard, but it will save you alot of money in the long run.
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#3
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About 31% of the time
"What percentage of the time can you expect to win a heads-up hand in holdem while holding AK that goes unimproved?"
I run a sim of 11 mln rounds of AKs against random hands, heads-up. AKs won 66.21% of the time, lost 32.14% and tied 1.65%. AKs had the following hands after the River: SF 0.05% Quads 0.12% Full House 2.23% Flush 6.52% Straight 3.09% Trips 4.34% Two pairs 22.13% One pair 43.29% No pair 18.22% In the 18.22% of the time that AKs did not improve, Big Slick Won 5.64% Lost 12.43% and Tied 0.16% of the time. From the above you may conclude that, on average, and against a random hand, when you find yourself in the situation that your AKs has not improven after the last card is dealt, you can expect to win abt 31%, to lose 68%, and to tie 1% of the time. --Cyrus PS : By the way, the advice given by Smaegol might make it appear as suggesting that folding all unimproved Big Slicks at the end of a limit HE round is always correct, when faced with a bet. It isn't so, IMHO, and particularly not when heads-up. |
#4
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Re: About 31% of the time
Was that against 1 or 2 opponenets?
As far as calling with an umimproved AK on the river, it comes down to your opponents. So I agree with you, the AK call on the river has been profitable for me a few times when snapping off a bluff. |
#5
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Re: AK unimproved in holdem
This is wretched advice. You would probably do better if you never folded AK if you are playing a heads up match. If it is a full ring game and only heads up to the flop, this is a different story, but folding it will often be a mistake.
-Mike |
#6
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Re: AK unimproved in holdem
Could you explain why you want to exclude the possibility of your opponents holding a pocket pair? This is an important consideration.
-Mike |
#7
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Re: About 31% of the time
Hey. What did you use/how did you do those sims?
Thanks. |
#8
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Re: About 31% of the time
PokerWiz
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#9
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Re: AK unimproved in holdem
I play in LA in games that tend to be very aggressive.
So if I raise in early position and everyone folds to late position players or if I open raise in the cutoff or button with AK it is very common for some very aggressive LA players to 3 bet with any pocket pair including deuces!!! But in the event that they don't reraise, I put them on split cards or a big hand that they are trying to trap me with. |
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