#1
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Pokerstars Supersatellite
8 spots pay $11,000. Your thoughts on this hand? :
*********** # 1 ************** PokerStars Game #795073000: Tournament #3070245, Hold'em No Limit - Level XIII (1500/3000) - 2004/10/23 - 23:46:01 (ET) Table '3070245 8' Seat #6 is the button Seat 1: The Shrike (19008 in chips) Seat 2: chalky (49662 in chips) Seat 3: BigY (35840 in chips) Seat 4: gizzimow (25410 in chips) Seat 5: JohnnyPorn (39877 in chips) Seat 6: gotmilk (24056 in chips) Seat 7: farroutt (57252 in chips) Seat 8: AKULA1 (112283 in chips) Seat 9: tonyplo (16612 in chips) The Shrike: posts the ante 150 chalky: posts the ante 150 BigY: posts the ante 150 gizzimow: posts the ante 150 JohnnyPorn: posts the ante 150 gotmilk: posts the ante 150 farroutt: posts the ante 150 AKULA1: posts the ante 150 tonyplo: posts the ante 150 farroutt: posts small blind 1500 AKULA1: posts big blind 3000 *** HOLE CARDS *** Dealt to gotmilk [Kh Kc] tonyplo: folds The Shrike: folds The Shrike said, "hmmm chop?" chalky: folds BigY: folds gizzimow said, "whats the skiing like over there Lee" gizzimow: folds JohnnyPorn: raises 5000 to 8000 The Shrike said, "someone takes 1200 from everyone?" gotmilk: raises 15906 to 23906 and is all-in farroutt: folds AKULA1: folds JohnnyPorn: calls 15906 *** FLOP *** [As 4d 3d] *** TURN *** [As 4d 3d] [Th] *** RIVER *** [As 4d 3d Th] [Tc] The Shrike said, "never mind i guess" gotmilk said, "you insane there bucko" gotmilk said, "nh" *** SHOW DOWN *** JohnnyPorn: shows [Ah Ks] (two pair, Aces and Tens) gotmilk: shows [Kh Kc] (two pair, Kings and Tens) JohnnyPorn collected 53662 from pot Lee Jones [observer] said, "Good match both player!" *** SUMMARY *** Total pot 53662 | Rake 0 Board [As 4d 3d Th Tc] Seat 1: The Shrike folded before Flop (didn't bet) Seat 2: chalky folded before Flop (didn't bet) Seat 3: BigY folded before Flop (didn't bet) Seat 4: gizzimow folded before Flop (didn't bet) Seat 5: JohnnyPorn showed [Ah Ks] and won (53662) with two pair, Aces and Tens Seat 6: gotmilk (button) showed [Kh Kc] and lost with two pair, Kings and Tens Seat 7: farroutt (small blind) folded before Flop Seat 8: AKULA1 (big blind) folded before Flop Seat 9: tonyplo folded before Flop (didn't bet) |
#2
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Re: Pokerstars Supersatellite
Looks like a job for the bad beat police!
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#3
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Re: Pokerstars Supersatellite
[ QUOTE ]
Looks like a job for the bad beat police! [/ QUOTE ] That's a given. It's also a given that the guy with the AK made one of the worst plays in the history of poker, going from assured a seat to last place if he lost. I'm trying to figure out how good of an option folding was, given the other shortstack scenarios. What was my probability of winning? I figure about 80%? I'll bust out like 25% of the time when he calls with an ace-- But you have to figure he folds AK, right? If I win, im 99.9%. If I go all in and he folds, I'm over 90%. What if I just fold? What are my chances? |
#4
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Re: Pokerstars Supersatellite
The problem is that you never know who you're playing with. The guy called for over half his chips with a drawing hand when he could fold into the money. Last week in a satellite for the Sunday Tourney I had a big enough stack to fold comfortably into the money and I folded AA preflop.
But despite the fact that you know in advance that you might get an idiot call, I think you made the right play. The blinds/stack ratio of the 2 stacks smaller than you were not yet at a point where they were going to be blinded out. In fact they both had enough chips that they would have some folding equity against almost everyone at the table. So, since it could have gone on for a while, I think you had to play the Kings. |
#5
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Re: Pokerstars Supersatellite
From your opponents perspective AK with T40k vs T24k
Against a pocket pair 22 he’s a 52 to 47 dog thru QQ he’s a 56.5 to 43 dog He dominates if you make a move with AQ (unlikely) 72 to 23 He’s dominated to KK AA (also unlikely) If he earlier pushed with a flush draw, he’s not laying down here. He’s playing to win right now. I push with KK and don’t worry about the rest |
#6
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Re: Pokerstars Supersatellite
Tuff break, I was in the same tourny, and got my money all in w/ AA against KK and the K hit. Busted out 23rd, and if I won the hand would have been in 3rd. Did not even make the 18 where I would have gotton my $650 back.
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